Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Orleans vs Rouen

France France

Ligue 3 Stade de la Source, Orléans
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Tchokounte M.
(Penalty)
45'
Guiheneuf M.
46'
Sub
Ribeiro A. In: Dali-Amar B.
Out: Ribeiro A.

AI Match Summary

Rouen in this Ligue 3 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rouen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Orleans
15%
Draws
45%
Rouen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rouen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Rouen haven't matched Orleans's recent run of results.
  • Orleans are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Orleans Clean Sheet 20%
Rouen Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orleans Rouen
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 7 13
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.43 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Ligue 3
Orleans vs Rouen
1:2
Feb 28, 2026 Ligue 3
Orleans vs Rouen
1:1
Sep 19, 2025 Ligue 3
Rouen vs Orleans
1:0
Jan 31, 2025 Ligue 3
Orleans vs Rouen
1:3
Aug 30, 2024 Ligue 3
Rouen vs Orleans
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orleans Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Rouen Compare

Top Goalscorer Traore S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orleans 42 / 100
Rouen 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orleans Rouen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Orleans scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Rouen has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Orleans has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Orleans VS Rouen
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Orleans

(Home)
14 Aug
Orleans
1 : 2
Rouen
07 Aug
Concarneau
0 : 2
Orleans
25 Jul
Auxerre
1 : 2
Orleans
21 Jul
Red Star
3 : 2
Orleans
18 Jul
Orleans
1 : 0
Paris 13 Atletico
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Rouen

(Away)
14 Aug
Orleans
1 : 2
Rouen
07 Aug
Rouen
0 : 0
Cannes
28 Jul
Rouen
1 : 0
Al Wakra
25 Jul
Boulogne
0 : 1
Rouen
24 May
Laval
1 : 0
Rouen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thionville 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
2 Rouen 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
3 La Roche Vendee 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
4 Caen 3 2 0 1 8:4 6
5 Orleans 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
6 Le Puy-en-Velay 3 2 0 1 3:1 6
7 Versailles 3 2 0 1 6:5 6
8 Paris 13 Atletico 3 2 0 1 3:3 6
9 Concarneau 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
10 Cannes 3 0 3 0 2:2 3
11 Villefranche 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
12 Bastia 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
13 Valenciennes 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
14 Bourg Peronnas 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
15 Fleury-Merogis 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
16 Amiens SC 3 0 1 2 0:2 1
17 Quevilly 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
18 Aubagne FC 3 0 0 3 0:5 0
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)