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Orleans vs Rouen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 3 Stade de la Source, Orléans
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Tchokounte M.
(Penalty)
45'
Guiheneuf M.
46'
Sub
Ribeiro A. In: Dali-Amar B.
Out: Ribeiro A.

AI Match Summary

Rouen in this Ligue 3 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rouen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Orleans
20%
Draws
65%
Rouen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rouen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Orleans haven't matched Rouen's recent run of results.
  • Rouen are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Orleans Clean Sheet 14%
Rouen Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orleans Rouen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 10 9
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.21 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Ligue 3
Orleans vs Rouen
1:2
Feb 28, 2026 Ligue 3
Orleans vs Rouen
1:1
Sep 19, 2025 Ligue 3
Rouen vs Orleans
1:0
Jan 31, 2025 Ligue 3
Orleans vs Rouen
1:3
Aug 30, 2024 Ligue 3
Rouen vs Orleans
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orleans Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Rouen Compare

Top Goalscorer Traore S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orleans 10 / 100
Rouen 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orleans Rouen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rouen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Orleans scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Rouen has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Orleans has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Orleans VS Rouen
0.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Orleans

(Home)
17 Oct
Quevilly
3 : 2
Orleans
01 Oct
Bastia
1 : 1
Orleans
26 Sept
Orleans
0 : 0
Cannes
19 Sept
Amiens SC
2 : 0
Orleans
12 Sept
Orleans
0 : 4
Versailles
Page 1 of 6

Rouen

(Away)
17 Oct
Paris 13 Atletico
3 : 1
Rouen
03 Oct
Rouen
2 : 0
Bourg Peronnas
24 Sept
Caen
3 : 2
Rouen
19 Sept
Rouen
1 : 0
Aubagne FC
12 Sept
Thionville
0 : 4
Rouen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 10 6 3 1 16:10 21
2 Rouen 10 6 2 2 18:8 20
3 Versailles 10 6 1 3 15:13 19
4 Caen 10 6 0 4 19:13 18
5 Concarneau 10 4 5 1 13:9 17
6 Le Puy-en-Velay 10 5 1 4 12:9 16
7 Amiens SC 10 4 4 2 13:4 16
8 Cannes 10 3 6 1 12:6 15
9 Fleury 91 10 4 3 3 16:12 15
10 Paris 13 Atletico 10 4 3 3 10:10 15
11 Quevilly 10 3 4 3 11:14 13
12 Thionville 10 3 3 4 15:16 12
13 Bastia 10 3 3 4 8:12 12
14 Valenciennes 10 2 3 5 10:15 9
15 Orleans 10 2 3 5 9:14 9
16 Aubagne FC 10 2 1 7 6:13 7
17 Villefranche 10 2 1 7 9:23 7
18 Bourg Peronnas 10 1 2 7 5:16 5
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)