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Orleans W vs Lille W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Seconde Ligue Women 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Delaby C.
17'
Delaby C.
18' Event
Traore N.

AI Match Summary

Lille W in this Seconde Ligue Women 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lille W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Orleans W
30%
Draws
47%
Lille W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lille W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Orleans W haven't matched Lille W's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Seconde Ligue Women 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Lille W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Orleans W Clean Sheet 18%
Lille W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orleans W Lille W
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 7 10
Draws 4 8
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.14 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.82 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Orleans W vs Lille W
1:2
Sep 29, 2024 Seconde Ligue Women
Lille W vs Orleans W
6:1
Feb 5, 2023 Seconde Ligue Women
Orleans W vs Lille W
1:2
Sep 18, 2022 Seconde Ligue Women
Lille W vs Orleans W
2:0
Mar 19, 2022 Seconde Ligue Women
Orleans W vs Lille W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orleans W Compare

Top Goalscorer Traore N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Lille W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mbala O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Devleesschauwer G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orleans W 32 / 100
Lille W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orleans W Lille W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Orleans W's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Lille W conceded in 78% of 32 recent games.

Orleans W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lille W
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Orleans W

(Home)
18 May
Orleans W
0 : 2
Saint-Malo W
11 May
Le Mans W
3 : 1
Orleans W
26 Apr
Metz W
4 : 1
Orleans W
20 Apr
Orleans W
0 : 2
Marseille W
13 Apr
Rodez AF W
0 : 4
Orleans W
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Lille W

(Away)
04 Oct
Lille W
1 : 1
Grenoble W
26 Sept
Strasbourg W
4 : 3
Lille W
20 Sept
Nice W
0 : 0
Lille W
13 Sept
Lille W
2 : 2
Bourges 18 W
06 Sept
Lille W
3 : 2
Auxerre W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marseille W 20 14 3 3 46:22 45
2 Lens W 20 14 3 3 54:23 45
3 Toulouse W 20 11 4 5 36:24 37
4 Le Mans W 20 9 4 7 29:24 31
5 Saint-Malo W 20 7 6 7 30:33 27
6 Metz W 20 6 7 7 26:25 25
7 Lille W 20 7 3 10 38:35 24
8 Thonon Evian W 20 5 7 8 20:34 22
9 Nice W 20 5 3 12 21:51 18
10 Rodez AF W 20 4 5 11 26:43 17
11 Orleans W 20 5 1 14 25:37 16
12 Bordeaux W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Main)