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Orleans W vs Saint-Malo W

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Seconde Ligue Women 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Orleans W play Saint-Malo W in the Seconde Ligue Women 2024/2025. Saint-Malo W are favorites here. Recently, Orleans W averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.82 conceded. Saint-Malo W averaged 1.52 goals scored and 1.55 conceded. In past meetings, Orleans W won 2, Saint-Malo W won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 18, 2025 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Orleans W and 1.00 for Saint-Malo W. This points to a Saint-Malo W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Orleans W
25%
Draws
60%
Saint-Malo W
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Saint-Malo W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Orleans W picked up more points recently compared to Saint-Malo W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Orleans W Clean Sheet 23%
Saint-Malo W Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orleans W Saint-Malo W
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 7 16
Draws 4 4
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.14 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.82 1.55

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Orleans W vs Saint-Malo W
0:2
Sep 14, 2024 Seconde Ligue Women
Saint-Malo W vs Orleans W
2:1
May 7, 2023 Seconde Ligue Women
Saint-Malo W vs Orleans W
2:1
Dec 4, 2022 Seconde Ligue Women
Orleans W vs Saint-Malo W
1:0
Feb 6, 2022 Seconde Ligue Women
Orleans W vs Saint-Malo W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orleans W Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Saint-Malo W Compare

Top Goalscorer Fixot M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orleans W 18 / 100
Saint-Malo W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orleans W Saint-Malo W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saint-Malo W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Saint-Malo W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Orleans W attacking → ← attacking Saint-Malo W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orleans W scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Saint-Malo W let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Orleans W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Saint-Malo W lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 52
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Marseille W20143346:2245
2Lens W20143354:2345
3Toulouse W20114536:2437
4Le Mans W2094729:2431
5Saint-Malo W2076730:3327
6Metz W2067726:2525
7Lille W20731038:3524
8Thonon Evian W2057820:3422
9Nice W20531221:5118
10Rodez AF W20451126:4317
11Orleans W20511425:3716
12Bordeaux W00000:00