Sport Picks
Match Events
67'
67'
Thorarinsson A.
AI Match Summary
Grindavik in this Icelandic Cup 2016 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Grindavik
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Grindavik lately — more wins on the board than Orninn.
- Model gives Orninn a 39% chance of winning this.
- Grindavik arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Grindavik, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Orninn Clean Sheet 20%
Grindavik Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Orninn | Grindavik |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 5 | 30 |
| Wins | 2 | 7 |
| Draws | 0 | 11 |
| Losses | 3 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.8 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.48 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 10, 2016 Icelandic Cup
Orninn vs Grindavik
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Orninn Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74
Grindavik Compare
Top Goalscorer Thorarinsson A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Orninn 85 / 100
Grindavik 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Orninn Grindavik
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Orninn Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Orninn's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 5 recent games.
Grindavik has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.
Orninn has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Grindavik
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Orninn
(Home) 10 May
Orninn
0 : 1 Grindavik
30 Apr
Ymir
0 : 4 Orninn
19 May
Orninn
2 : 4 Kari
02 May
IH Hafnarfjordur
0 : 2 Orninn
03 May
Ellidi
2 : 1 Orninn
10 May
Orninn
0 : 1 Grindavik
19 May
Orninn
2 : 4 Kari
Grindavik
(Away) 22 Aug
Fylkir
6 : 1 Grindavik
17 Aug
Grindavik
0 : 0 Grotta
13 Aug
Grindavik
2 : 1 Throttur
07 Aug
Afturelding
4 : 1 Grindavik
29 Jul
Grindavik
1 : 0 Leiknir Reykjavik
Page 1 of 6
22 Aug
Fylkir
6 : 1 Grindavik
07 Aug
Afturelding
4 : 1 Grindavik
24 Jul
Volsungur
2 : 0 Grindavik
14 Jul
Grotta
1 : 2 Grindavik
10 Jul
Njardvik
5 : 4 Grindavik
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
Afturelding -
Hviti 6
Gnupverjar 2
TBD -
Kopavogur -
Reynir 1
Alftanes 0
Vatnaliljur 1
Hamar 2
KH Hlidarendi 8
Snaefell 0
TBD -
Vestri -
Vidir 1
IH Hafnarfjordur 0
Afrika Reykjavik 0
Berserkir 15
Fjardabyggd -
TBD -
Leiknir Faskruds 1
Sindri 3
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Njardvik 2
Kari 1
TBD -
Selfoss -
Valur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fjolnir -
Haukar -
TBD -
Kongarnir 0
KFR 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Grindavik -
TBD -
Ymir 0
Orninn 4
Tindastoll 2
Dalvik/Reynir 0
TBD -
KA Akureyri -
Keflavik -
TBD -
Stokkseyri 1
Skallagrimur 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fylkir -
Breidablik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KB Breidholt 4
Isbjorninn 1
Hordur Isafjordur 0
Kria 2
KV Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
IR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Akranes -
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Olafsvik -
Huginn -
TBD -
Einherji 0
Hottur 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
Throttur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
Nokkvi 0
Volsungur 1
Augnablik 2
Arborg 0
Midas 0
Vaengirs 1
Throttur Vogar 2
Stal-Ulfur 1
TBD -
Grotta -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
Kjalnesinga 0
Lettir 3
KFS 2
GG Grindavik 1
Aegir 0
KFG Gardabaer 2
Fjallabyggd -
TBD -
Hamrarnir 0
Magni 15
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
1/32-finals
Fram 1
Afturelding 0
Hviti 0
Kopavogur 1
Reynir 4
Hamar 1
KH Hlidarendi 0
Vestri 4
Vidir 4
Berserkir 1
Fjardabyggd 0
Sindri 1
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
Njardvik 1
Selfoss 2
Valur -
TBD -
TBD -
Fjolnir -
Haukar 4
KFR 0
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Grindavik 1
Orninn 0
Tindastoll 1
KA Akureyri 2
Keflavik 2
Skallagrimur 0
TBD -
Fylkir -
Breidablik -
TBD -
KB Breidholt 2
Kria 5
KV Reykjavik 1
IR Reykjavik 0
TBD -
Akranes -
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
Olafsvik -
Huginn 1
Hottur 0
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
Throttur -
TBD -
Thor Akureyri 1
Volsungur 2
Augnablik 3
Vaengirs 2
Throttur Vogar 0
Grotta 1
Leiknir Reykjavik 8
Lettir 0
KFS 1
KFG Gardabaer 9
Fjallabyggd 3
Magni 2
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
1/16-finals
Fram 2
Kopavogur 0
Reynir 1
Vestri 2
Vidir 2
Sindri 0
KR Reykjavik 1
Selfoss 2
Valur 1
Fjolnir 0
Haukar 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Grindavik 1
KA Akureyri 0
Keflavik 1
Fylkir 2
Breidablik 3
Kria 0
KV Reykjavik 0
Akranes 1
Stjarnan 3
Olafsvik 2
Huginn 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Throttur 3
Volsungur 1
Augnablik 1
Grotta 6
Leiknir Reykjavik 3
KFG Gardabaer 2
Fjallabyggd 0
Hafnarfjordur 9
1/8-finals
Fram 3
Vestri 2
Vidir 3
Selfoss 4
Valur 3
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Grindavik 0
Fylkir 2
Breidablik 2
Akranes 1
Stjarnan 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Throttur 4
Grotta 0
Leiknir Reykjavik 1
Hafnarfjordur 4
Quarter-finals
Fram 0
Selfoss 2
Valur 5
Fylkir 0
Breidablik 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3
Throttur 0
Hafnarfjordur 3
Semi-finals
Selfoss 1
Valur 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1
Hafnarfjordur 0
Final
Valur 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0
