Sport Picks
Match Events
10'
10'
Yakovlev V.
18'
18'
Lebedev A.
21'
21'
Jonathan J.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-2. This leg finished 3-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
20%
16%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Orsha
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Orsha lately — more wins on the board than Naftan.
- Win probability leans Orsha's way, sitting at 90%.
- Orsha have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Orsha, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Naftan here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Orsha Clean Sheet 18%
Naftan Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Orsha | Naftan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 5 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 15 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 2.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 19, 2026 Belarusian Cup
Orsha vs Naftan
3:2
Feb 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Naftan vs Orsha
3:0
Feb 20, 2025 Club Friendly
Naftan vs Orsha
2:0
Mar 11, 2023 Club Friendly
Naftan vs Orsha
5:1
Sep 11, 2022 Pershaya Liga
Naftan vs Orsha
5:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Orsha Compare
Top Goalscorer Pashkevich M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Naftan Compare
Top Goalscorer Yakovlev V.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lebedev A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Orsha 85 / 100
Naftan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Orsha Naftan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Orsha Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Naftan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.
H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.
Orsha found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
Naftan's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Orsha VS Naftan
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Orsha
(Home) 11 Sept
Din. Minsk 2
0 : 0 Orsha
06 Sept
Orsha
2 : 3 Ostrovets
30 Aug
FC Slonim
1 : 2 Orsha
26 Aug
Orsha
1 : 4 Din. Minsk 2
21 Aug
Orsha
1 : 2 BATE 2
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Orsha
2 : 3 Ostrovets
26 Aug
Orsha
1 : 4 Din. Minsk 2
21 Aug
Orsha
1 : 2 BATE 2
10 Aug
Orsha
0 : 3 Molodechno
06 Aug
Orsha
2 : 1 FC Gomel 2
Page 1 of 3
Naftan
(Away) 13 Sept
BATE
2 : 2 Naftan
06 Sept
Naftan
0 : 3 FC Minsk
02 Sept
Din. Minsk
5 : 1 Naftan
28 Aug
Vitebsk
2 : 0 Naftan
22 Aug
Naftan
0 : 2 Neman
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
BATE
2 : 2 Naftan
02 Sept
Din. Minsk
5 : 1 Naftan
28 Aug
Vitebsk
2 : 0 Naftan
15 Aug
FC Gomel
6 : 0 Naftan
31 Jul
Dnepr Mogilev
3 : 3 Naftan
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Shchuchyn 3
FK Lida 4
TBD -
Zhodino -
BGU Minsk 0
Osipovichi 2
TBD -
Dnepr Mogilev -
Technolog Mogilev 0
FC Slonim 6
TBD -
Isloch Minsk -
Polotsk 0
Uni X Labs 2
TBD -
FK Baranovici -
Bobovnya 0
BumProm Gomel 2
TBD -
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk -
Leskhoz 0
Soligorsk 3
TBD -
Neman -
Drut Belynichi 0
Orsha 7
TBD -
Naftan -
Urozhaynaya 0
Molodechno 3
TBD -
BATE -
Gazovik Vitebsk 1
Volna Pinsk 4
TBD -
Slavia Mozyr -
Stanles Pinsk 1
Krumkachy 4
TBD -
Dynamo Brest -
Neman Mosty 1
Niva Dolbizno 4
TBD -
FC Gomel -
Krechet 0
Ostrovets 8
TBD -
Vitebsk -
Ivatsevichi 1
Slutsk 3
TBD -
Din. Minsk -
Minskoe More 0
SKA-1938 Minsk 3
TBD -
ML Vitebsk -
Viktoria Maryina Gorka 1
Nadezhda Baranovici 0
TBD -
Belshina -
Vertical Kalinkovichi 0
Smorgon 7
TBD -
FC Minsk -
1/16-finals
FK Lida 0
Zhodino 4
Osipovichi 1
Dnepr Mogilev 3
FC Slonim 0
Isloch Minsk 1
Uni X Labs 1
FK Baranovici 4
BumProm Gomel 0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 1
Soligorsk 1
Neman 2
Orsha 3
Naftan 2
Molodechno 1
BATE 4
Volna Pinsk 0
Slavia Mozyr 5
Krumkachy 0
Dynamo Brest 5
Niva Dolbizno 2
FC Gomel 3
Ostrovets 2
Vitebsk 3
Slutsk 0
Din. Minsk 2
SKA-1938 Minsk 3
ML Vitebsk 5
Viktoria Maryina Gorka 1
Belshina 8
Smorgon 3
FC Minsk 4
1/8-finals
Zhodino 1
Dnepr Mogilev 2
Isloch Minsk 1
FK Baranovici 2
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 2
Neman 3
Orsha -
BATE -
Slavia Mozyr 2
Dynamo Brest 1
FC Gomel 1
Vitebsk 2
Din. Minsk -
ML Vitebsk -
Belshina 1
FC Minsk 2
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
