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Stadium Background

Orsha vs SKA-1938 Minsk Prediction & H2H Stats

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga Central City Stadium, Orsha
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Shalychev V.
41'
Sub
Tikhomirov D. In: Pashkevich M.
Out: Tikhomirov D.
46'
Sub
Lisovskiy V. In: Kazakov I.
Out: Lisovskiy V.

AI Match Summary

The Pershaya Liga game between Orsha and SKA-1938 Minsk finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SKA-1938 Minsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%
Orsha
20%
Draws
69%
SKA-1938 Minsk
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SKA-1938 Minsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • SKA-1938 Minsk carry the better recent record into this one.
  • SKA-1938 Minsk are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Orsha Clean Sheet 20%
SKA-1938 Minsk Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orsha SKA-1938 Minsk
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 17
Draws 6 5
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.32 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Pershaya Liga
SKA-1938 Minsk vs Orsha
5:1
May 30, 2026 Pershaya Liga
Orsha vs SKA-1938 Minsk
0:2
Oct 27, 2024 Pershaya Liga
SKA-1938 Minsk vs Orsha
1:1
Jun 29, 2024 Pershaya Liga
Orsha vs SKA-1938 Minsk
2:2
Aug 28, 2020 Belarusian Cup
Orsha vs SKA-1938 Minsk
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orsha Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

SKA-1938 Minsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Korytko M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orsha 10 / 100
SKA-1938 Minsk 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orsha SKA-1938 Minsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SKA-1938 Minsk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Orsha found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

SKA-1938 Minsk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Orsha went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Orsha VS SKA-1938 Minsk
0.75 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Orsha

(Home)
03 Oct
Orsha
0 : 0
Niva Dolbizno
26 Sept
SKA-1938 Minsk
5 : 1
Orsha
19 Sept
Orsha
0 : 3
Slutsk
11 Sept
Din. Minsk 2
0 : 0
Orsha
06 Sept
Orsha
2 : 3
Ostrovets
Page 1 of 6

SKA-1938 Minsk

(Away)
03 Oct
FC Gomel 2
0 : 3
SKA-1938 Minsk
26 Sept
SKA-1938 Minsk
5 : 1
Orsha
19 Sept
Volna Pinsk
1 : 3
SKA-1938 Minsk
12 Sept
SKA-1938 Minsk
0 : 2
Smorgon
05 Sept
BumProm Gomel
1 : 2
SKA-1938 Minsk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slutsk 27 17 6 4 56:28 57
2 Niva Dolbizno 27 17 4 6 67:31 55
3 FK Lida 27 17 3 7 51:43 54
4 SKA-1938 Minsk 27 16 5 6 56:31 53
5 FC Slonim 27 14 5 8 49:32 47
6 Molodechno 26 14 3 9 45:40 45
7 Soligorsk 27 11 7 9 52:44 40
8 BumProm Gomel 26 11 5 10 50:40 38
9 Din. Minsk 2 25 10 5 10 42:37 35
10 Ostrovets 27 8 11 8 37:39 35
11 Volna Pinsk 27 10 4 13 40:50 34
12 Smorgon 27 9 6 12 33:36 33
13 FC Minsk 2 26 9 3 14 36:48 30
14 Orsha 27 7 6 14 28:51 27
15 Uni X Labs 26 6 8 12 25:35 26
16 BATE 2 27 5 7 15 36:61 22
17 FC Gomel 2 27 5 6 16 36:55 21
18 Osipovichi 27 5 4 18 29:67 19
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)