Sport Picks

Belarus

Pershaya Liga Central City Stadium

Orsha

1 - 1

Smorgon

Our Tip

Match Events

10'

Sub

Berezun I. In: Volchenko N.

Out: Berezun I.

22'

Vekhtev N.

Assist: Zheleznikov G.

30'

Dukso M.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Pershaya Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Orsha

39%

Draws

30%

Smorgon

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Smorgon have won more games recently than Orsha.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%

Orsha Clean Sheet 10%

Smorgon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Orsha	Smorgon
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	7	9
Draws	3	8
Losses	18	12
Goals Scored	1.38	2.63
Goals Conceded	1.75	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Pershaya Liga

Orsha vs Smorgon

Possession: 43% - 59% Cards: 1 - 1

1:1

Oct 8, 2022 Pershaya Liga

Smorgon vs Orsha

Possession: 58% - 54% Cards: 0 - 0

3:2

Jun 5, 2022 Pershaya Liga

Orsha vs Smorgon

Possession: 40% - 53% Cards: 4 - 2

1:1

Sep 6, 2020 Pershaya Liga

Smorgon vs Orsha

Possession: 58% - 58% Cards: 1 - 2

0:1

May 2, 2020 Pershaya Liga

Orsha vs Smorgon

Possession: 56% - 46% Cards: 3 - 3

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orsha Compare

Top Goalscorer Vekhtev N.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Smorgon Compare

Avg xG / game 2.39

Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orsha 30 / 100

Smorgon 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Orsha Smorgon

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SMO Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Smorgon let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Orsha scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Solid form: Orsha remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Orsha VS Smorgon

1.38 Goals Scored 2.63

1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5

88% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 75%

38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Slutsk	15	11	2	2	32:16	35
2	SKA-1938 Minsk	15	10	4	1	37:16	34
3	FK Lida	15	8	3	4	27:23	27
4	FC Slonim	15	8	3	4	28:17	27
5	Niva Dolbizno	15	8	3	4	35:18	27
6	Soligorsk	15	7	4	4	33:20	25
7	BumProm Gomel	15	7	3	5	30:21	24
8	Din. Minsk 2	14	7	3	4	29:20	24
9	Volna Pinsk	15	7	2	6	25:25	23
10	Molodechno	15	6	1	8	21:31	19
11	FC Gomel 2	15	4	5	6	23:21	17
12	FC Minsk 2	15	5	1	9	18:31	16
13	Orsha	14	4	3	7	15:25	15
14	Ostrovets	15	2	9	4	18:21	15
15	Uni X Labs	15	4	3	8	13:24	15
16	Smorgon	15	3	5	7	18:24	14
17	BATE 2	15	2	5	8	20:37	11
18	Osipovichi	15	1	1	13	15:47	4