Sport Picks
Match Events
10'
10'
Sub
Berezun I. In: Volchenko N.
Out: Berezun I.
22'
22'
Vekhtev N.
Assist: Zheleznikov G.
30'
30'
Dukso M.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Pershaya Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Smorgon
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Smorgon have won more games recently than Orsha.
- Win probability leans Smorgon's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Orsha Clean Sheet 18%
Smorgon Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Orsha | Smorgon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.72 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 11, 2026 Pershaya Liga
Orsha vs Smorgon
1:1
Oct 8, 2022 Pershaya Liga
Smorgon vs Orsha
3:2
Jun 5, 2022 Pershaya Liga
Orsha vs Smorgon
1:1
Sep 6, 2020 Pershaya Liga
Smorgon vs Orsha
0:1
May 2, 2020 Pershaya Liga
Orsha vs Smorgon
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Orsha Compare
Top Goalscorer Vekhtev N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Smorgon Compare
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Orsha 23 / 100
Smorgon 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Orsha Smorgon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Smorgon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Orsha scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Smorgon has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Solid form: Orsha remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Orsha VS Smorgon
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Orsha
(Home) 11 Sept
Din. Minsk 2
0 : 0 Orsha
06 Sept
Orsha
2 : 3 Ostrovets
30 Aug
FC Slonim
1 : 2 Orsha
26 Aug
Orsha
1 : 4 Din. Minsk 2
21 Aug
Orsha
1 : 2 BATE 2
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Orsha
2 : 3 Ostrovets
26 Aug
Orsha
1 : 4 Din. Minsk 2
21 Aug
Orsha
1 : 2 BATE 2
10 Aug
Orsha
0 : 3 Molodechno
06 Aug
Orsha
2 : 1 FC Gomel 2
Page 1 of 3
Smorgon
(Away) 12 Sept
SKA-1938 Minsk
0 : 2 Smorgon
06 Sept
Smorgon
1 : 1 Slutsk
30 Aug
Din. Minsk 2
3 : 2 Smorgon
22 Aug
Smorgon
0 : 1 Ostrovets
16 Aug
FC Slonim
0 : 2 Smorgon
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
SKA-1938 Minsk
0 : 2 Smorgon
30 Aug
Din. Minsk 2
3 : 2 Smorgon
16 Aug
FC Slonim
0 : 2 Smorgon
05 Aug
Uni X Labs
2 : 0 Smorgon
01 Aug
Molodechno
3 : 0 Smorgon
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Niva Dolbizno | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 63:30 | 51 |
| 2 | Slutsk | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 45:24 | 48 |
| 3 | FK Lida | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 47:38 | 48 |
| 4 | SKA-1938 Minsk | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 45:29 | 44 |
| 5 | Molodechno | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 41:34 | 42 |
| 6 | FC Slonim | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 45:30 | 40 |
| 7 | Volna Pinsk | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 39:41 | 34 |
| 8 | BumProm Gomel | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 43:37 | 34 |
| 9 | Soligorsk | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 46:43 | 33 |
| 10 | Ostrovets | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 33:34 | 33 |
| 11 | Din. Minsk 2 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 41:37 | 32 |
| 12 | FC Minsk 2 | 24 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 35:45 | 29 |
| 13 | Smorgon | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 29:34 | 27 |
| 14 | Orsha | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 27:43 | 26 |
| 15 | Uni X Labs | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 24:33 | 25 |
| 16 | BATE 2 | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 34:55 | 21 |
| 17 | FC Gomel 2 | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 33:47 | 21 |
| 18 | Osipovichi | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 25:61 | 17 |
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
