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Stadium Background

Orsha vs Zhodino Yuzhnoe

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Balbukh V.
(Penalty)
17' Event
Zakrevskiy N.
29'
Bogdanov A.

AI Match Summary

Zhodino Yuzhnoe in this Pershaya Liga 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zhodino Yuzhnoe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Orsha
6%
Draws
90%
Zhodino Yuzhnoe
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Zhodino Yuzhnoe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Zhodino Yuzhnoe lately — more wins on the board than Orsha.
  • Model gives Zhodino Yuzhnoe a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Pershaya Liga 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Orsha Clean Sheet 16%
Zhodino Yuzhnoe Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orsha Zhodino Yuzhnoe
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 21 12
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 2 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2023 Pershaya Liga
Orsha vs Zhodino Yuzhnoe
2:5
Jul 16, 2023 Pershaya Liga
Zhodino Yuzhnoe vs Orsha
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orsha Compare

Top Goalscorer Zakrevskiy N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Zhodino Yuzhnoe Compare

Top Goalscorer Kalinchenko M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Simonchik D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orsha 10 / 100
Zhodino Yuzhnoe 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orsha Zhodino Yuzhnoe

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZHO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zhodino Yuzhnoe let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Orsha found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (33 games).

Recent resilience: Orsha stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Orsha VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arsenal Dzerzhinsk32263386:3081
2Dnepr Mogilev32227375:2473
3Vitebsk32234568:2273
4Lokomotiv Gomel32195855:4062
5ML Vitebsk32194984:5261
6FK Baranovici321461246:4948
7Zhodino Yuzhnoe321371262:5246
8Volna Pinsk321271341:4943
9Niva Dolbizno321251553:6641
10FK Lida321251544:4841
11Molodechno321181351:5641
12Ostrovets321091354:6239
13BumProm Gomel321081445:6238
14Orsha32871750:6231
15FC Slonim32572026:6322
16Petrikov32642233:7222
17Osipovichi32122921:855