Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Orsomarso vs Boca Juniors de Cali - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata, Barrancabermeja
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
08:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Orsomarso host Boca Juniors de Cali in the Primera B. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Boca Juniors de Cali have shipped 1.43 goals a game lately, while Orsomarso have conceded 1.11 and scored 0.75. Past meetings favor Boca Juniors de Cali slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 18, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.06 - 1.44) back Boca Juniors de Cali to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Orsomarso
30%
Draws
61%
Boca Juniors de Cali
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Boca Juniors de Cali

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Boca Juniors de Cali come out ahead of Orsomarso on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Boca Juniors de Cali's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Orsomarso Clean Sheet 16%
Boca Juniors de Cali Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orsomarso Boca Juniors de Cali
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 5 9
Draws 12 10
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.75 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2026 Primera B
Boca Juniors de Cali vs Orsomarso
2:2
Sep 28, 2025 Primera B
Orsomarso vs Boca Juniors de Cali
0:3
Apr 23, 2025 Primera B
Boca Juniors de Cali vs Orsomarso
0:1
Sep 29, 2024 Primera B
Boca Juniors de Cali vs Orsomarso
0:0
Apr 26, 2024 Primera B
Orsomarso vs Boca Juniors de Cali
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orsomarso 10 / 100
Boca Juniors de Cali 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orsomarso Boca Juniors de Cali

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Boca Juniors de Cali Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Boca Juniors de Cali conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Orsomarso scored in 50% of their last 28 games.

Recent resilience: Orsomarso stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Orsomarso VS Boca Juniors de Cali
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Orsomarso

(Home)
01 Oct
Envigado
0 : 0
Orsomarso
28 Sept
Independiente Valle del Cauca
4 : 3
Orsomarso
22 Sept
Real Santander
0 : 0
Orsomarso
14 Sept
Orsomarso
0 : 2
Atletico F.C.
10 Sept
Orsomarso
0 : 2
Tigres Futbol Club
Page 1 of 6

Boca Juniors de Cali

(Away)
04 Oct
Cartagena
2 : 3
Boca Juniors de Cali
26 Sept
Boca Juniors de Cali
4 : 1
Patriotas
19 Sept
Leones
1 : 2
Boca Juniors de Cali
13 Sept
Boca Juniors de Cali
2 : 0
Real Santander
06 Sept
Boca Juniors de Cali
2 : 2
Envigado
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Cundinamarca 11 7 2 2 19:10 23
2 Independiente Valle del Cauca 11 7 2 2 15:6 23
3 Tigres Futbol Club 10 5 3 2 12:4 18
4 Boca Juniors de Cali 10 5 2 3 17:13 17
5 Patriotas 11 5 2 4 17:17 17
6 Cartagena 11 4 3 4 19:14 15
7 Inter Palmira 10 4 2 4 8:11 14
8 Atletico F.C. 11 4 2 5 13:17 14
9 Quindio 10 3 4 3 8:8 13
10 Real Santander 11 2 6 3 13:18 12
11 Envigado 10 2 5 3 9:8 11
12 Union Magdalena 10 3 2 5 9:11 11
13 Bogota 10 3 2 5 6:10 11
14 Orsomarso 10 2 4 4 7:10 10
15 Leones 10 2 3 5 7:16 9
16 Barranquilla 10 2 2 6 10:16 8
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)