Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Orsomarso vs Ind. Medellin

Colombia Colombia

Copa Colombia Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Arrechea S.
39' Event
Montano J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Copa Colombia matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Orsomarso
28%
Draws
50%
Ind. Medellin
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Ind. Medellin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Ind. Medellin have won more games recently than Orsomarso.
  • Model gives Ind. Medellin a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Orsomarso Clean Sheet 20%
Ind. Medellin Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orsomarso Ind. Medellin
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 13
Draws 11 9
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.17 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Copa Colombia
Orsomarso vs Ind. Medellin
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orsomarso Compare

Top Goalscorer Arrechea S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Ind. Medellin Compare

Top Goalscorer Montano J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orsomarso 24 / 100
Ind. Medellin 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orsomarso Ind. Medellin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IND Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ind. Medellin let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Orsomarso went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Orsomarso scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Orsomarso VS Ind. Medellin
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.17 Goals Conceded 1.25
83% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dep. Cali440010:212
2Alianza42116:37
3Boca Juniors de Cali42118:87
4Bucaramanga41038:73
5Real Santander40041:130
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Millonarios431014:510
2Llaneros43017:29
3Chico41216:35
4Patriotas40224:72
5Atletico F.C.40132:161
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ind. Medellin42205:38
2Fortaleza C.E.I.F.41215:35
3Leones41214:55
4Cucuta40312:33
5Orsomarso40313:53
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dep. Pereira42204:28
2Real Cundinamarca42116:47
3Aguilas Doradas41307:46
4Jaguares de Cordoba41124:34
5Ind. Yumbo40132:101