Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Orsomarso vs Inter Palmira

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata, Barrancabermeja
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Agamez S.
17'
Ariza Y.
30'
Barreiro J.

AI Match Summary

The Primera B game between Orsomarso and Inter Palmira finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Inter Palmira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Orsomarso
15%
Draws
51%
Inter Palmira
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Inter Palmira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Inter Palmira come out ahead of Orsomarso on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Orsomarso Clean Sheet 27%
Inter Palmira Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orsomarso Inter Palmira
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 13
Draws 11 8
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 0.71 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.04 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Primera B
Orsomarso vs Inter Palmira
1:2
Oct 13, 2025 Primera B
Orsomarso vs Inter Palmira
0:0
Sep 6, 2025 Primera B
Inter Palmira vs Orsomarso
1:1
May 4, 2025 Primera B
Inter Palmira vs Orsomarso
1:1
Mar 29, 2025 Primera B
Orsomarso vs Inter Palmira
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orsomarso Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Inter Palmira Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orsomarso 33 / 100
Inter Palmira 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orsomarso Inter Palmira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inter Palmira Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Inter Palmira conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Difficult form: Inter Palmira registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Orsomarso scored in 50% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Orsomarso VS Inter Palmira
0.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Orsomarso

(Home)
22 Sept
Real Santander
0 : 0
Orsomarso
14 Sept
Orsomarso
0 : 2
Atletico F.C.
10 Sept
Orsomarso
0 : 2
Tigres Futbol Club
05 Sept
Orsomarso
0 : 1
Cartagena
24 Aug
Orsomarso
2 : 0
Real Cundinamarca
Page 1 of 6

Inter Palmira

(Away)
22 Sept
Independiente Valle del Cauca
0 : 1
Inter Palmira
12 Sept
Inter Palmira
2 : 1
Cartagena
09 Sept
Inter Palmira
0 : 1
Atletico F.C.
03 Sept
Inter Palmira
0 : 2
Real Cundinamarca
29 Aug
Real Santander
3 : 1
Inter Palmira
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter Palmira 15 12 2 1 29:13 38
2 Union Magdalena 15 10 2 3 27:15 32
3 Quindio 15 9 4 2 20:10 31
4 Envigado 15 9 2 4 24:14 29
5 Cartagena 15 7 5 3 23:15 26
6 Bogota 15 6 5 4 16:14 23
7 Barranquilla 15 6 2 7 21:20 20
8 Tigres Futbol Club 15 5 5 5 15:14 20
9 Independiente Valle del Cauca 15 4 7 4 13:14 19
10 Orsomarso 15 4 5 6 13:17 17
11 Patriotas 15 4 5 6 13:17 17
12 Boca Juniors de Cali 15 2 7 6 15:20 13
13 Real Cundinamarca 15 2 7 6 14:19 13
14 Leones 15 2 4 9 8:24 10
15 Atletico F.C. 15 1 6 8 12:23 9
16 Real Santander 15 1 4 10 9:23 7
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Quadrangular)