Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Orsomarso W vs Atl. Nacional W

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women Estadio Municipal Raul Miranda, Yumbo (COL)
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Sanchez A.
39'
Sub
Sandoval A. In: Vergara M.
Out: Sandoval A.
41'
Martinez S.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Women game between Orsomarso W and Atl. Nacional W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Orsomarso W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Orsomarso W
15%
Draws
73%
Atl. Nacional W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atl. Nacional W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atl. Nacional W come out ahead of Orsomarso W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Atl. Nacional W's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Orsomarso W Clean Sheet 14%
Atl. Nacional W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orsomarso W Atl. Nacional W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 19
Draws 12 1
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 0.97 1.77
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Liga Women
Orsomarso W vs Atl. Nacional W
1:0
Jun 15, 2025 Liga Women
Orsomarso W vs Atl. Nacional W
1:1
Apr 6, 2022 Liga Women
Atl. Nacional W vs Orsomarso W
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orsomarso W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Atl. Nacional W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orsomarso W 15 / 100
Atl. Nacional W 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orsomarso W Atl. Nacional W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atl. Nacional W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orsomarso W's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Atl. Nacional W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Difficult form: Atl. Nacional W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Orsomarso W VS Atl. Nacional W
0.75 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Orsomarso W

(Home)
12 Sept
Orsomarso W
1 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
09 Sept
America de Cali W
3 : 1
Orsomarso W
04 Sept
Dep. Cali W
1 : 0
Orsomarso W
01 Sept
Orsomarso W
0 : 0
Dep. Cali W
29 Aug
Orsomarso W
0 : 2
America de Cali W
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Atl. Nacional W

(Away)
20 Sept
Dep. Cali W
4 : 0
Atl. Nacional W
16 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 2
Dep. Cali W
13 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
3 : 1
Inter Palmira W
09 Sept
Millonarios W
2 : 1
Atl. Nacional W
04 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 0
Inter Bogotá W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Nacional W 16 13 0 3 34:9 39
2 Dep. Cali W 16 12 2 2 33:10 38
3 Millonarios W 16 10 5 1 32:8 35
4 America de Cali W 16 11 2 3 29:8 35
5 Inter Bogotá W 16 9 2 5 22:14 29
6 Indep. Santa Fe W 16 7 5 4 27:15 26
7 Inter Palmira W 16 7 5 4 15:17 26
8 Orsomarso W 16 5 7 4 18:14 22
9 Ind. Medellin W 16 6 1 9 21:22 19
10 Fortaleza W 16 4 5 7 14:23 17
11 Bucaramanga W 16 5 2 9 15:34 17
12 Llaneros W 16 3 4 9 11:33 13
13 Junior W 16 2 6 8 12:24 12
14 Real Santander W 16 1 7 8 4:22 10
15 Once Caldas W 16 1 5 10 7:25 8
16 Dep. Pasto W 16 1 4 11 12:28 7
Promotion - Liga Women (Promotion Group)