Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group E

Orvietana

0 - 2

Camaiore Calcio

Our Tip

Match Events

72'

Nieri M.

81'

Bongiorni M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E game between Orvietana and Camaiore Calcio finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Camaiore Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Orvietana

Draws

Camaiore Calcio

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Orvietana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Orvietana have managed 0.5 goals a game lately — Camaiore Calcio are scoring more at 1.25.
Model gives Orvietana a 90% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%

Orvietana Clean Sheet 68%

Camaiore Calcio Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Orvietana	Camaiore Calcio
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	8	8
Draws	11	6
Losses	11	16
Goals Scored	0.5	1.25
Goals Conceded	0.75	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Serie D - Group E

Orvietana vs Camaiore Calcio

Possession: 54% - 44% Cards: 3 - 0

0:2

Oct 26, 2025 Serie D - Group E

Camaiore Calcio vs Orvietana

Possession: 44% - 48% Cards: 4 - 1

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orvietana Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38

Avg xA / game 0.25

Camaiore Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Nieri M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Bongiorni M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orvietana 95 / 100

Camaiore Calcio 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Orvietana Camaiore Calcio

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ORV Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Camaiore Calcio conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Orvietana has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Camaiore Calcio has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Orvietana VS Camaiore Calcio

0.5 Goals Scored 1.25

0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5

38% Over 1.5 88%

13% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Grosseto	34	22	6	6	58:25	72
2	Tau	34	18	9	7	53:33	63
3	Prato	34	20	5	9	49:29	63
4	Siena	34	17	9	8	57:35	60
5	Seravezza Pozzi	34	15	12	7	42:29	57
6	Terranuova Traiana	34	14	9	11	28:30	51
7	Foligno	34	14	9	11	45:37	51
8	Scandicci	34	11	15	8	39:32	48
9	Montevarchi	34	10	16	8	28:32	46
10	Sporting Trestina	34	10	12	12	40:42	42
11	San Donato Tavarnelle	34	9	13	12	30:35	40
12	Ghiviborgo	34	10	10	14	42:44	40
13	Orvietana	34	9	11	14	33:37	38
14	Follonica Gavorrano	34	9	10	15	36:49	37
15	Camaiore Calcio	34	9	8	17	41:54	35
16	Poggibonsi	34	7	10	17	29:46	31
17	Cannara	34	6	8	20	24:59	26
18	Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro	34	2	16	16	20:46	22