Sport Picks
Orvietana vs Poggibonsi
Italy
Serie D - Group E 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Orvietana lately — more wins on the board than Poggibonsi.
- 50% — that's where the model lands on Orvietana taking it.
- Orvietana have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Orvietana, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Orvietana | Poggibonsi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 7 |
| Draws | 11 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.5 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.50 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Orvietana Compare
Poggibonsi Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Poggibonsi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
Solid form: Orvietana remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Orvietana's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
