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Os Marialvas vs Electrico FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Sonhi Y.
58' Event
Henriques R.
90' Event
Insali Djalo E.

AI Match Summary

Os Marialvas in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Os Marialvas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Os Marialvas
15%
Draws
17%
Electrico FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Os Marialvas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Os Marialvas have won more games recently than Electrico FC.
  • 68% — that's where the model lands on Os Marialvas taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Os Marialvas Clean Sheet 68%
Electrico FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Os Marialvas Electrico FC
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 5
Draws 7 4
Losses 10 21
Goals Scored 1.35 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.81 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.77 0.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Os Marialvas vs Electrico FC
2:1
Aug 17, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Electrico FC vs Os Marialvas
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Os Marialvas Compare

Top Goalscorer Sonhi Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Henriques R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.89

Electrico FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Insali Djalo E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.47

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Os Marialvas 95 / 100
Electrico FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Os Marialvas Electrico FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Os Marialvas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Electrico FC conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Os Marialvas's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Solid form: Os Marialvas remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Os Marialvas VS Electrico FC
0.75 Goals Scored 1.2
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.8
50% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Os Marialvas

(Home)
20 Sept
UD Ovarense
0 : 1
Os Marialvas
13 Sept
GD Os Nazarenos
0 : 3
Os Marialvas
06 Sept
Os Marialvas
3 : 0
Fatima
30 Aug
Fornos de Algodres
0 : 4
Os Marialvas
23 Aug
Os Marialvas
1 : 2
Oliveira Hospital
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Electrico FC

(Away)
18 Apr
Mortagua FC
2 : 1
Electrico FC
12 Apr
Electrico FC
0 : 3
Fatima
04 Apr
Samora Correia
2 : 1
Electrico FC
22 Mar
Electrico FC
4 : 2
GD Peniche
15 Mar
Oliveira Hospital
5 : 0
Electrico FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Sernache 26 16 7 3 33:12 55
2 Oliveira Hospital 26 14 8 4 39:13 50
3 Naval 1893 26 14 6 6 36:23 48
4 SB Castelo Branco 26 14 4 8 43:26 46
5 Uniao Da Serra 26 12 8 6 38:27 44
6 Mortagua FC 26 11 6 9 23:26 39
7 Os Marialvas 26 10 6 10 33:28 36
8 Fatima 26 8 8 10 27:29 32
9 Lajense 26 8 8 10 37:37 32
10 GD Peniche 26 8 6 12 34:43 30
11 Samora Correia 26 8 5 13 27:35 29
12 Marinhense 26 5 9 12 20:38 24
13 Electrico FC 26 5 4 17 33:62 19
14 SC Lusitania 26 4 5 17 24:48 17
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)