Sport Picks

Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C

Electrico FC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Os Marialvas play Electrico FC in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group C. Os Marialvas are favorites here. Recently, Os Marialvas averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1 conceded. Electrico FC averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.63 conceded. In past meetings, Os Marialvas won 2, Electrico FC won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 17, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.56 for Os Marialvas and 1.31 for Electrico FC. This points to a Os Marialvas double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%

Os Marialvas

20%

Draws

19%

Electrico FC

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Os Marialvas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence

Os Marialvas picked up more points recently compared to Electrico FC.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.56 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 76%

Over 2.5 Goals 58%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%

Os Marialvas Clean Sheet 18%

Electrico FC Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Os Marialvas	Electrico FC
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	11	5
Draws	8	4
Losses	11	21
Goals Scored	1.17	1.2
Goals Conceded	1	2.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	3.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C

Os Marialvas vs Electrico FC

Possession: 50% - 48% Cards: 3 - 3

2:1

Aug 17, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C

Electrico FC vs Os Marialvas

Possession: 42% - 56% Cards: 3 - 2

1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Os Marialvas Compare

Top Goalscorer Sonhi Y.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Henriques R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Electrico FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Insali Djalo E.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Os Marialvas 59 / 100

Electrico FC 19 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Os Marialvas Electrico FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Os Marialvas Win (1)

Secondary Pick Os Marialvas & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +15.3%

1.89

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.4%

1.92

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Os Marialvas attacking → ← attacking Electrico FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Os Marialvas scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Electrico FC let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Os Marialvas went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Electrico FC lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 19

1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.88

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vitoria Sernache	26	16	7	3	33:12	55
2	Oliveira Hospital	26	14	8	4	39:13	50
3	Naval 1893	26	14	6	6	36:23	48
4	SB Castelo Branco	26	14	4	8	43:26	46
5	Uniao Da Serra	26	12	8	6	38:27	44
6	Mortagua FC	26	11	6	9	23:26	39
7	Os Marialvas	26	10	6	10	33:28	36
8	Fatima	26	8	8	10	27:29	32
9	Lajense	26	8	8	10	37:37	32
10	GD Peniche	26	8	6	12	34:43	30
11	Samora Correia	26	8	5	13	27:35	29
12	Marinhense	26	5	9	12	20:38	24
13	Electrico FC	26	5	4	17	33:62	19
14	SC Lusitania	26	4	5	17	24:48	17