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Os Marialvas vs SC Pombal

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025
Os Marialvas Logo

Os Marialvas

1 - 1
FT
SC Pombal Logo

SC Pombal

Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Lixa G.
75' Event
Gabriel Santos
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025 game between Os Marialvas and SC Pombal finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Os Marialvas
15%
Draws
28%
SC Pombal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Os Marialvas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Os Marialvas come out ahead of SC Pombal on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Os Marialvas taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Os Marialvas Clean Sheet 68%
SC Pombal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Os Marialvas SC Pombal
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 10 8
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.19 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Os Marialvas vs SC Pombal
1:1
Sep 29, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
SC Pombal vs Os Marialvas
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Os Marialvas Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Santos
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

SC Pombal Compare

Top Goalscorer Lixa G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Os Marialvas 95 / 100
SC Pombal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Os Marialvas SC Pombal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Os Marialvas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Os Marialvas scored in 72% of their last 36 games.

SC Pombal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Os Marialvas remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Os Marialvas VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Os Marialvas

(Home)
20 Sept
UD Ovarense
0 : 1
Os Marialvas
13 Sept
GD Os Nazarenos
0 : 3
Os Marialvas
06 Sept
Os Marialvas
3 : 0
Fatima
30 Aug
Fornos de Algodres
0 : 4
Os Marialvas
23 Aug
Os Marialvas
1 : 2
Oliveira Hospital
Page 1 of 8

SC Pombal

(Away)
13 Apr
SC Pombal
1 : 3
Marinhense
06 Apr
O Elvas CAD
4 : 0
SC Pombal
29 Mar
GD Peniche
0 : 3
SC Pombal
16 Mar
SC Pombal
0 : 3
Fatima
09 Mar
SB Castelo Branco
1 : 3
SC Pombal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 O Elvas CAD 26 20 5 1 41:10 65
2 Fatima 26 14 7 5 30:12 49
3 Arronches Benfica 26 13 9 4 27:17 48
4 GD Peniche 26 10 9 7 31:23 39
5 Os Marialvas 26 9 10 7 30:28 37
6 Mortagua FC 26 8 13 5 23:21 37
7 Marinhense 26 9 9 8 24:21 36
8 Alverca B 26 9 8 9 28:25 35
9 SB Castelo Branco 26 8 10 8 23:21 34
10 SC Pombal 26 8 8 10 29:34 32
11 Uniao de Coimbra 26 6 7 13 26:44 25
12 Sertanense 26 4 9 13 23:33 21
13 Alcains 26 4 6 16 17:36 18
14 Pero Pinheiro 26 2 6 18 12:39 12
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)