Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Os Marialvas vs Uniao Da Serra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
39'
41' Event

AI Match Summary

Os Marialvas in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Os Marialvas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Os Marialvas
20%
Draws
40%
Uniao Da Serra
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Uniao Da Serra have won more games recently than Os Marialvas.
  • Model gives Os Marialvas a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Os Marialvas Clean Sheet 16%
Uniao Da Serra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Os Marialvas Uniao Da Serra
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 15
Draws 8 9
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.32 1.53
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Os Marialvas vs Uniao Da Serra
2:1
Mar 29, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Os Marialvas vs Uniao Da Serra
1:1
Sep 14, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Uniao Da Serra vs Os Marialvas
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Os Marialvas 41 / 100
Uniao Da Serra 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Os Marialvas Uniao Da Serra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Os Marialvas scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Uniao Da Serra let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Os Marialvas went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Os Marialvas VS Uniao Da Serra
1.88 Goals Scored 2.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Os Marialvas

(Home)
01 Nov
Os Marialvas
2 : 1
Uniao Da Serra
25 Oct
Fazendense
1 : 2
Os Marialvas
16 Oct
Chaves
2 : 1
Os Marialvas
11 Oct
Os Marialvas
0 : 0
Sertanense
20 Sept
UD Ovarense
0 : 1
Os Marialvas
Page 1 of 7

Uniao Da Serra

(Away)
01 Nov
Os Marialvas
2 : 1
Uniao Da Serra
25 Oct
Uniao Da Serra
1 : 1
Malveira
18 Oct
Vitoria Setubal
1 : 2
Uniao Da Serra
11 Oct
O Elvas CAD
1 : 2
Uniao Da Serra
20 Sept
Amora
3 : 4
Uniao Da Serra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Os Marialvas 7 5 1 1 12:4 16
2 O Elvas CAD 7 5 1 1 13:6 16
3 Mortagua FC 7 4 2 1 11:5 14
4 Oliveira Hospital 7 4 2 1 13:9 14
5 Uniao Da Serra 7 3 3 1 10:8 12
6 SB Castelo Branco 7 3 1 3 11:14 10
7 Malveira 7 2 3 2 10:11 9
8 Fatima 7 2 2 3 15:11 8
9 Nogueirense 7 1 5 1 11:13 8
10 Naval 1893 7 2 1 4 7:9 7
11 Alverca B 7 2 1 4 10:7 7
12 Sertanense 7 0 5 2 5:9 5
13 GD Os Nazarenos 7 1 2 4 5:12 5
14 Fazendense 7 0 1 6 8:23 1
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)