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OS TF vs Ardal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Kvalvagnes D.
41' Event
Spilde T. S.
43' Event
Brakstad K.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 1 2024 game between OS TF and Ardal finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward OS TF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
OS TF
15%
Draws
59%
Ardal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ardal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and OS TF come out ahead of Ardal on wins alone.
  • Model gives Ardal a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 1 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
OS TF Clean Sheet 16%
Ardal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric OS TF Ardal
Matches Played 42 30
Wins 27 7
Draws 3 1
Losses 12 22
Goals Scored 3.07 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.88 3.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.54 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2024 Division 3 - Group 1
OS TF vs Ardal
5:2
May 11, 2024 Division 3 - Group 1
Ardal vs OS TF
2:4
Oct 9, 2021 Division 3 - Group 4
OS TF vs Ardal
1:0
Oct 10, 2020 Division 3 - Group 4
OS TF vs Ardal
0:0
Aug 27, 2020 Division 3 - Group 4
Ardal vs OS TF
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

OS TF Compare

Top Goalscorer Kvalvagnes D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Spilde T. S.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.95
Avg xA / game 1.27

Ardal Compare

Top Goalscorer Laegreid K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hovland T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

OS TF 10 / 100
Ardal 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
OS TF Ardal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ardal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

OS TF scored in 93% of their last 42 games.

Defensive concern: Ardal conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: OS TF stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

OS TF VS -
3.88 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

OS TF

(Home)
03 Oct
OS TF
0 : 0
Askoy
26 Sept
Varegg
4 : 2
OS TF
21 Sept
OS TF
3 : 2
Asane 2
16 Sept
OS TF
1 : 2
Brann
12 Sept
Fana
3 : 2
OS TF
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Ardal

(Away)
27 Oct
Ardal
0 : 4
Sandviken
20 Oct
Askoy
3 : 0
Ardal
05 Oct
Ardal
11 : 2
Asane 2
28 Sept
Djerv 1919
3 : 4
Ardal
21 Sept
Ardal
6 : 1
Floro
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