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Osasco Audax U20 vs Referencia U20

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Jailson
52' Event
Leonnan
65' Event
Ferreira dos Santos C. G.

AI Match Summary

Osasco Audax U20 in this Paulista U20 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Osasco Audax U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Osasco Audax U20
20%
Draws
51%
Referencia U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Referencia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Osasco Audax U20 lately — more wins on the board than Referencia U20.
  • 29% — that's where the model lands on Osasco Audax U20 taking it.
  • Regular Paulista U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Osasco Audax U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Referencia U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Osasco Audax U20 Referencia U20
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 15 9
Draws 12 7
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.45 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Paulista U20
Osasco Audax U20 vs Referencia U20
3:0
Jun 7, 2024 Paulista U20
Referencia U20 vs Osasco Audax U20
2:2
May 3, 2024 Paulista U20
Osasco Audax U20 vs Referencia U20
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Osasco Audax U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jailson
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leonnan
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Referencia U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Osasco Audax U20 59 / 100
Referencia U20 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Osasco Audax U20 Referencia U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Osasco Audax U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Referencia U20 let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

Osasco Audax U20's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 38 recent games.

Osasco Audax U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Osasco Audax U20 VS Referencia U20
2 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Osasco Audax U20

(Home)
26 Sept
Osasco Audax U20
0 : 0
Botafogo SP U20
20 Sept
Botafogo SP U20
4 : 1
Osasco Audax U20
12 Sept
XV de Jau U20
2 : 1
Osasco Audax U20
04 Sept
Osasco Audax U20
1 : 0
Bragantino U20
25 Aug
Osasco Audax U20
2 : 2
Gremio Prudente U20
Page 1 of 8

Referencia U20

(Away)
12 Sept
Referencia U20
2 : 0
Maua FC U20
04 Sept
Tanabi U20
0 : 2
Referencia U20
21 Aug
Referencia U20
0 : 2
Palmeiras U20
14 Aug
Referencia U20
1 : 0
Sfera U20
11 Aug
XV de Jau U20
2 : 1
Referencia U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos U20 13 10 2 1 32:5 32
2 Corinthians U20 13 10 2 1 29:3 32
3 CA Juventus U20 13 9 1 3 35:16 28
4 Ferroviaria U20 13 7 4 2 21:9 25
5 Portuguesa U20 13 7 4 2 21:13 25
6 Sertaozinho U20 13 5 4 4 13:12 19
7 Portuguesa Santista U20 13 5 2 6 16:19 17
8 Ponte Preta U20 13 4 3 6 15:29 15
9 Uniao Suzano U20 13 4 2 7 10:21 14
10 Jabaquara U20 13 4 1 8 9:17 13
11 Itapirense U20 13 3 1 9 14:29 10
12 America SP U20 13 3 0 10 8:31 9
13 Sao Bento U20 13 2 3 8 14:24 9
14 Mirassol U20 13 1 5 7 12:21 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ibrachina U20 14 11 1 2 34:8 34
2 Sao Paulo U20 14 10 3 1 23:4 33
3 Novorizontino U20 14 7 4 3 23:13 25
4 Santo Andre U20 14 6 4 4 22:16 22
5 Desportivo U20 14 6 4 4 19:13 22
6 Osasco Sporting U20 14 5 6 3 19:17 21
7 Botafogo SP U20 14 4 7 3 24:17 19
8 Piracicaba U20 14 3 10 1 12:9 19
9 EC Sao Bernardo U20 14 3 7 4 18:18 16
10 Paulinense U20 14 4 3 7 13:18 15
11 CA Bandeirante U20 14 3 3 8 12:26 12
12 Uniao Sao Joao U20 14 2 6 6 11:15 12
13 Sao Caetano U20 14 3 2 9 14:25 11
14 Velo Clube U20 14 1 8 5 6:24 11
15 Aguai U20 14 2 2 10 10:37 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bragantino U20 14 13 0 1 61:9 39
2 Palmeiras U20 14 11 2 1 29:7 35
3 Guarani U20 14 11 1 2 28:11 34
4 Sfera U20 14 7 1 6 28:16 22
5 Osasco Audax U20 14 6 4 4 20:13 22
6 Agua Santa U20 14 6 3 5 19:23 21
7 Capivariano U20 14 5 6 3 20:14 21
8 Flamengo SP U20 14 5 2 7 11:20 17
9 XV de Jau U20 14 5 2 7 13:26 17
10 Gremio Prudente U20 14 4 4 6 22:25 16
11 Ituano U20 14 3 5 6 17:26 14
12 Referencia U20 14 4 1 9 11:21 13
13 Maua FC U20 14 2 3 9 7:28 9
14 Tanabi U20 14 2 3 9 11:37 9
15 Porto Football U20 14 2 1 11 6:27 7
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)