Sport Picks
Match Events
24'
24'
Gavi
60'
60'
Garcia E.
62'
62'
Sub
Olmo D. In: Torres F.
Out: Olmo D.
AI Match Summary
Barcelona in this LaLiga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Barcelona.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Osasuna
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Barcelona lately — more wins on the board than Osasuna.
- 46% — that's where the model lands on Osasuna taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Barcelona have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Osasuna Clean Sheet 16%
Barcelona Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Osasuna | Barcelona |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 27 |
| Wins | 11 | 19 |
| Draws | 7 | 1 |
| Losses | 12 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 2.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2026 LaLiga
Osasuna vs Barcelona
1:2
Dec 13, 2025 LaLiga
Barcelona vs Osasuna
2:0
Mar 27, 2025 LaLiga
Barcelona vs Osasuna
3:0
Sep 28, 2024 LaLiga
Osasuna vs Barcelona
4:2
Jan 31, 2024 LaLiga
Barcelona vs Osasuna
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Osasuna Compare
Top Goalscorer Garcia R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Barcelona Compare
Top Goalscorer Lewandowski R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Torres F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Osasuna 39 / 100
Barcelona 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Osasuna Barcelona
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Osasuna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Osasuna found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Barcelona conceded in 67% of 27 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Osasuna has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Osasuna VS Barcelona
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Osasuna
(Home) 15 Aug
Arenas Getxo
1 : 1 Osasuna
08 Aug
Osasuna
0 : 2 Al Ain
05 Aug
Napoli
2 : 1 Osasuna
01 Aug
Norwich
1 : 2 Osasuna
29 Jul
Ipswich
1 : 2 Osasuna
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Osasuna
0 : 2 Al Ain
24 Jul
Osasuna
2 : 0 Racing Santander
17 May
Osasuna
1 : 2 Espanyol
12 May
Osasuna
1 : 2 Atl. Madrid
02 May
Osasuna
1 : 2 Barcelona
Page 1 of 3
Barcelona
(Away) 08 Aug
Udinese
1 : 0 Barcelona
08 Aug
Barcelona
1 : 0 Nottingham
31 Jul
Birmingham
3 : 2 Barcelona
24 Jul
Barcelona
4 : 1 CE Europa
23 May
Valencia
3 : 1 Barcelona
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Udinese
1 : 0 Barcelona
31 Jul
Birmingham
3 : 2 Barcelona
23 May
Valencia
3 : 1 Barcelona
13 May
Alaves
1 : 0 Barcelona
02 May
Osasuna
1 : 2 Barcelona
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 95:36 | 94 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 77:35 | 86 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 72:46 | 72 |
| 4 | Atl. Madrid | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 62:44 | 69 |
| 5 | Betis | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 59:48 | 60 |
| 6 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53:48 | 54 |
| 7 | Getafe | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 32:38 | 51 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 41:44 | 50 |
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 46:55 | 49 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 59:61 | 46 |
| 11 | Espanyol | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 43:55 | 46 |
| 12 | Ath Bilbao | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 43:58 | 45 |
| 13 | Sevilla | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 46:60 | 43 |
| 14 | Alaves | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 44:56 | 43 |
| 15 | Elche | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 49:57 | 43 |
| 16 | Levante | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:61 | 42 |
| 17 | Osasuna | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44:50 | 42 |
| 18 | Mallorca | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:57 | 42 |
| 19 | Girona | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 39:55 | 41 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 26:60 | 29 |
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 (Main)
