Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Osasuna vs Espanyol

Spain Spain

LaLiga 2025/2026 Estadio El Sadar, Pamplona
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Lozano P.
27' Event
Romero C.
49' Event
Munoz V.
Assist: Boyomo F.

AI Match Summary

Espanyol in this LaLiga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Espanyol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Osasuna
20%
Draws
29%
Espanyol
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Osasuna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Espanyol haven't matched Osasuna's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Osasuna Clean Sheet 14%
Espanyol Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Osasuna Espanyol
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 6
Draws 7 10
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.24 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 LaLiga
Osasuna vs Espanyol
0:2
May 17, 2026 LaLiga
Osasuna vs Espanyol
1:2
Aug 31, 2025 LaLiga
Espanyol vs Osasuna
1:0
May 18, 2025 LaLiga
Osasuna vs Espanyol
2:0
Dec 14, 2024 LaLiga
Espanyol vs Osasuna
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Osasuna Compare

Top Goalscorer Munoz V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Espanyol Compare

Top Goalscorer Romero C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Osasuna 31 / 100
Espanyol 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Osasuna Espanyol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Espanyol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Osasuna found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Espanyol has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Osasuna remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Osasuna VS Espanyol
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Osasuna

(Home)
12 Sept
Osasuna
0 : 2
Espanyol
06 Sept
Alaves
5 : 2
Osasuna
31 Aug
Osasuna
1 : 0
Getafe
27 Aug
Celta Vigo
1 : 2
Osasuna
24 Aug
Osasuna
0 : 0
Levante
Page 1 of 6

Espanyol

(Away)
15 Sept
Rayo Vallecano
2 : 1
Espanyol
12 Sept
Osasuna
0 : 2
Espanyol
06 Sept
Espanyol
1 : 1
Sevilla
29 Aug
Real Sociedad
2 : 1
Espanyol
22 Aug
Espanyol
1 : 2
Real Madrid
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona 38 31 1 6 95:36 94
2 Real Madrid 38 27 5 6 77:35 86
3 Villarreal 38 22 6 10 72:46 72
4 Atl. Madrid 38 21 6 11 62:44 69
5 Betis 38 15 15 8 59:48 60
6 Celta Vigo 38 14 12 12 53:48 54
7 Getafe 38 15 6 17 32:38 51
8 Rayo Vallecano 38 12 14 12 41:44 50
9 Valencia 38 13 10 15 46:55 49
10 Real Sociedad 38 11 13 14 59:61 46
11 Espanyol 38 12 10 16 43:55 46
12 Ath Bilbao 38 13 6 19 43:58 45
13 Sevilla 38 12 7 19 46:60 43
14 Alaves 38 11 10 17 44:56 43
15 Elche 38 10 13 15 49:57 43
16 Levante 38 11 9 18 47:61 42
17 Osasuna 38 11 9 18 44:50 42
18 Mallorca 38 11 9 18 47:57 42
19 Girona 38 9 14 15 39:55 41
20 Real Oviedo 38 6 11 21 26:60 29
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 (Main)