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Osasuna vs Racing Santander - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

LaLiga Estadio El Sadar, Pamplona
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Osasuna host Racing Santander in the LaLiga. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Osasuna have averaged 1.1 scored and 1.48 conceded recently, against Racing Santander's 1.9 scored and 2.03 conceded. Head-to-head, Osasuna have won 2 to Racing Santander's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 24, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.94) point toward Racing Santander. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Osasuna
15%
Draws
51%
Racing Santander
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Racing Santander

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Racing Santander have won more games recently than Osasuna.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular LaLiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Osasuna Clean Sheet 10%
Racing Santander Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Osasuna Racing Santander
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 14
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.1 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.48 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Osasuna vs Racing Santander
2:0
Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Osasuna vs Racing Santander
0:1
Mar 7, 2015 LaLiga2
Racing Santander vs Osasuna
2:0
Oct 4, 2014 LaLiga2
Osasuna vs Racing Santander
0:2
May 13, 2012 LaLiga
Racing Santander vs Osasuna
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Osasuna 29 / 100
Racing Santander 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Osasuna Racing Santander

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Osasuna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Racing Santander has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Osasuna scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Racing Santander has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Osasuna VS Racing Santander
0.75 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Osasuna

(Home)
19 Sept
Osasuna
1 : 1
Rayo Vallecano
16 Sept
Atl. Madrid
4 : 0
Osasuna
12 Sept
Osasuna
0 : 2
Espanyol
06 Sept
Alaves
5 : 2
Osasuna
31 Aug
Osasuna
1 : 0
Getafe
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Racing Santander

(Away)
19 Sept
Celta Vigo
5 : 0
Racing Santander
16 Sept
Barcelona
7 : 2
Racing Santander
12 Sept
Racing Santander
2 : 1
Alaves
05 Sept
Rayo Vallecano
3 : 2
Racing Santander
28 Aug
Racing Santander
3 : 2
Elche
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona 7 7 0 0 31:7 21
2 Atl. Madrid 7 5 1 1 16:7 16
3 Betis 7 5 1 1 9:7 16
4 Real Madrid 7 5 0 2 18:8 15
5 Sevilla 7 4 1 2 10:9 13
6 Alaves 7 3 2 2 11:6 11
7 Dep. A Coruna 7 2 4 1 10:8 10
8 Real Sociedad 7 3 1 3 9:13 10
9 Villarreal 7 2 2 3 13:12 8
10 Ath Bilbao 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
11 Getafe 7 2 2 3 4:7 8
12 Rayo Vallecano 7 2 2 3 11:16 8
13 Osasuna 7 2 2 3 6:13 8
14 Celta Vigo 7 1 4 2 8:6 7
15 Espanyol 7 2 1 4 10:10 7
16 Racing Santander 7 2 1 4 11:21 7
17 Levante 6 1 2 3 8:12 5
18 Elche 7 1 2 4 11:17 5
19 Valencia 7 1 1 5 4:13 4
20 Malaga 7 0 3 4 3:12 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)