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OSC Bremerhaven vs ESC Geestemunde

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bremen
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

OSC Bremerhaven play ESC Geestemunde in the Oberliga Bremen. OSC Bremerhaven are favorites here. Recently, OSC Bremerhaven averaged 2.87 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. ESC Geestemunde averaged 1.87 goals scored and 2.7 conceded. In past meetings, OSC Bremerhaven won 4, ESC Geestemunde won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 13, 2026 ended 5:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.50 for OSC Bremerhaven and 1.56 for ESC Geestemunde. This points to a OSC Bremerhaven double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
OSC Bremerhaven
15%
Draws
27%
ESC Geestemunde
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: OSC Bremerhaven

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • OSC Bremerhaven picked up more points recently compared to ESC Geestemunde.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.50 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
OSC Bremerhaven Clean Sheet 15%
ESC Geestemunde Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric OSC Bremerhaven ESC Geestemunde
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 20 10
Draws 4 5
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 2.87 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.33 2.7
Expected Goals (xG) 3.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 3.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Oberliga Bremen
OSC Bremerhaven vs ESC Geestemunde
5:2
Sep 21, 2025 Oberliga Bremen
ESC Geestemunde vs OSC Bremerhaven
1:5
Mar 15, 2025 Oberliga Bremen
OSC Bremerhaven vs ESC Geestemunde
1:0
Sep 28, 2024 Oberliga Bremen
ESC Geestemunde vs OSC Bremerhaven
2:4
May 11, 2024 Oberliga Bremen
ESC Geestemunde vs OSC Bremerhaven
5:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

OSC Bremerhaven 55 / 100
ESC Geestemunde 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
OSC Bremerhaven ESC Geestemunde

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OSC Bremerhaven Win (1)
Secondary Pick OSC Bremerhaven & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16%
2.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.4%
1.39
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

OSC Bremerhaven attacking → ← attacking ESC Geestemunde

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

OSC Bremerhaven scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

ESC Geestemunde let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.40 goals.

OSC Bremerhaven went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

ESC Geestemunde lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

64 Points in last 5 35
3.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Blumenthaler30243395:3575
2Hemelingen302343111:3173
3OSC Bremerhaven30204686:4064
4Eiche Horn30202869:3762
5Brinkumer30165981:5053
6BTS Neustadt301621286:7350
7Union 60 Bremen301531272:6548
8Werder Bremen III301231560:6739
9Oberneuland301061465:5836
10ESC Geestemunde301051556:8135
11Leher301041652:6234
12Aumund-Vegesack301111855:7934
13Vatan Bremen30921949:9129
14Woltmershausen30651943:9023
15Habenhauser30712242:9722
16ATSV Sebaldsbruck30442244:11016