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Oshmyany vs Smorgon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga 2020
Oshmyany Logo

Oshmyany

0 - 1
FT
Smorgon Logo

Smorgon

Our Tip

Match Events

52'
Kazantsev P.
62'
Sub
Kopach D. In: Dukso M.
Out: Kopach D.
64'
Sub
Zubarev V. In: Lukashevich M.
Out: Zubarev V.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Smorgon in this Pershaya Liga 2020 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Smorgon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Oshmyany
20%
Draws
73%
Smorgon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Smorgon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Oshmyany haven't matched Smorgon's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Smorgon a 73% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Oshmyany Clean Sheet 15%
Smorgon Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oshmyany Smorgon
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 7 16
Draws 8 7
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.33 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2020 Pershaya Liga
Oshmyany vs Smorgon
0:1
May 31, 2020 Pershaya Liga
Smorgon vs Oshmyany
1:1
Sep 17, 2016 Pershaya Liga
Smorgon vs Oshmyany
0:0
May 22, 2016 Pershaya Liga
Oshmyany vs Smorgon
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oshmyany Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Smorgon Compare

Top Goalscorer Dukso M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oshmyany 10 / 100
Smorgon 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oshmyany Smorgon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Smorgon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oshmyany's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Smorgon let in goals in 58% of their last 38 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Oshmyany stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Smorgon
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Oshmyany

(Home)
21 Nov
Krumkachy
1 : 0
Oshmyany
15 Nov
Oshmyany
2 : 4
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
07 Nov
Oshmyany
0 : 6
Lokomotiv Gomel
31 Oct
FC Gomel
2 : 0
Oshmyany
24 Oct
Oshmyany
0 : 0
Chimik Svetlogorsk
Page 1 of 6

Smorgon

(Away)
03 Oct
Smorgon
2 : 0
Osipovichi
25 Sept
FK Lida
2 : 1
Smorgon
19 Sept
Smorgon
1 : 0
Niva Dolbizno
12 Sept
SKA-1938 Minsk
0 : 2
Smorgon
06 Sept
Smorgon
1 : 1
Slutsk
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sputnik 26 19 4 3 50:18 61
2 FC Gomel 26 18 5 3 60:20 54
3 Krumkachy 26 16 4 6 46:28 52
4 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 26 13 7 6 41:28 46
5 Lokomotiv Gomel 26 13 6 7 56:38 45
6 Smorgon 26 10 6 10 29:26 36
7 FK Lida 26 9 7 10 37:42 31
8 FC Slonim 26 8 6 12 22:32 30
9 Volna Pinsk 26 7 6 13 41:52 27
10 Oshmyany 26 6 8 12 35:43 26
11 Orsha 26 7 6 13 30:42 24
12 Naftan 26 10 6 10 36:43 21
13 Mikashevichi 26 4 5 17 21:52 17
14 Chimik Svetlogorsk 26 2 4 20 12:52 1
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2021 (Main)
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2020 (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2020 (Relegation - Play Offs)