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Oshmyany vs Volna Pinsk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga 2020
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Gubanov M.
14'
Letsko S.
15' Event
Demidchik P.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Pershaya Liga 2020 game between Oshmyany and Volna Pinsk finished 5-5.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Oshmyany
15%
Draws
64%
Volna Pinsk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Volna Pinsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Volna Pinsk come out ahead of Oshmyany on wins alone.
  • Model gives Oshmyany a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Oshmyany Clean Sheet 13%
Volna Pinsk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oshmyany Volna Pinsk
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 7 17
Draws 8 7
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.33 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2020 Pershaya Liga
Oshmyany vs Volna Pinsk
5:5
May 2, 2020 Pershaya Liga
Volna Pinsk vs Oshmyany
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oshmyany Compare

Top Goalscorer Demidchik P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kontsedailov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Volna Pinsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Gubanov M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Radzhabov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.53
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oshmyany 35 / 100
Volna Pinsk 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oshmyany Volna Pinsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Volna Pinsk conceded in 92% of 38 recent games.

H2H data points to 7.50 goals as a typical output.

Oshmyany scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Volna Pinsk's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Volna Pinsk
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Oshmyany

(Home)
21 Nov
Krumkachy
1 : 0
Oshmyany
15 Nov
Oshmyany
2 : 4
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
07 Nov
Oshmyany
0 : 6
Lokomotiv Gomel
31 Oct
FC Gomel
2 : 0
Oshmyany
24 Oct
Oshmyany
0 : 0
Chimik Svetlogorsk
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Volna Pinsk

(Away)
02 Oct
Volna Pinsk
0 : 2
FK Lida
26 Sept
Niva Dolbizno
4 : 0
Volna Pinsk
19 Sept
Volna Pinsk
1 : 3
SKA-1938 Minsk
12 Sept
Slutsk
1 : 0
Volna Pinsk
04 Sept
Volna Pinsk
2 : 1
Din. Minsk 2
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sputnik 26 19 4 3 50:18 61
2 FC Gomel 26 18 5 3 60:20 54
3 Krumkachy 26 16 4 6 46:28 52
4 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 26 13 7 6 41:28 46
5 Lokomotiv Gomel 26 13 6 7 56:38 45
6 Smorgon 26 10 6 10 29:26 36
7 FK Lida 26 9 7 10 37:42 31
8 FC Slonim 26 8 6 12 22:32 30
9 Volna Pinsk 26 7 6 13 41:52 27
10 Oshmyany 26 6 8 12 35:43 26
11 Orsha 26 7 6 13 30:42 24
12 Naftan 26 10 6 10 36:43 21
13 Mikashevichi 26 4 5 17 21:52 17
14 Chimik Svetlogorsk 26 2 4 20 12:52 1
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2021 (Main)
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2020 (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2020 (Relegation - Play Offs)