Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Osijek vs Lok. Zagreb

Croatia Croatia

HNL Opus Arena, Osijek
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Susak M. In: Vasilj J.
Out: Susak M.
46'
Sub
Kralevski T. In: Belcar L.
Out: Kralevski T.
64'
Sub
Jezic J. In: Jakupovic A.
Out: Jezic J.

AI Match Summary

The HNL game between Osijek and Lok. Zagreb finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Osijek.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Osijek
20%
Draws
29%
Lok. Zagreb
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Osijek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Lok. Zagreb haven't matched Osijek's recent run of results.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular HNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Osijek Clean Sheet 14%
Lok. Zagreb Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Osijek Lok. Zagreb
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 4 9
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.19 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 HNL
Osijek vs Lok. Zagreb
1:0
Apr 25, 2026 HNL
Osijek vs Lok. Zagreb
0:0
Feb 21, 2026 HNL
Lok. Zagreb vs Osijek
3:1
Nov 23, 2025 HNL
Osijek vs Lok. Zagreb
1:1
Aug 31, 2025 HNL
Lok. Zagreb vs Osijek
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Osijek Compare

Top Goalscorer Jakupovic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Lok. Zagreb Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Osijek 30 / 100
Lok. Zagreb 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Osijek Lok. Zagreb

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Osijek Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Osijek's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Lok. Zagreb's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Osijek stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Osijek VS Lok. Zagreb
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Osijek

(Home)
19 Sept
Varazdin
0 : 0
Osijek
12 Sept
Osijek
4 : 2
Din. Zagreb
09 Sept
Segesta
3 : 1
Osijek
05 Sept
Rijeka
4 : 1
Osijek
30 Aug
Osijek
3 : 0
Slaven Belupo
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Lok. Zagreb

(Away)
20 Sept
Din. Zagreb
3 : 2
Lok. Zagreb
12 Sept
Lok. Zagreb
1 : 1
Rijeka
09 Sept
Tomislav DA
0 : 2
Lok. Zagreb
06 Sept
Slaven Belupo
2 : 1
Lok. Zagreb
31 Aug
Hajduk Split
2 : 0
Lok. Zagreb
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Din. Zagreb 7 5 1 1 17:9 16
2 Hajduk Split 8 5 1 2 16:8 16
3 Osijek 8 5 1 2 17:11 16
4 Varazdin 8 4 3 1 13:7 15
5 Rijeka 7 4 2 1 13:7 14
6 Istra 1961 8 2 3 3 14:13 9
7 Lok. Zagreb 8 2 1 5 11:16 7
8 Slaven Belupo 8 2 1 5 7:16 7
9 HNK Gorica 8 1 2 5 5:12 5
10 Rudes 8 1 1 6 10:24 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva NL 2027/2028 (Main)