Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Osipovichi vs Molodechno

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga Yunost Stadium, Osipovichi
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Shmarov E.
Assist: Dubovik T.
38' Event
Shmarov E.
Assist: Gruzhevskiy D.
46'
Sub
Drapeza V. In: Denisenko D.
Out: Drapeza V.

AI Match Summary

The Pershaya Liga game between Osipovichi and Molodechno finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Molodechno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Osipovichi
40%
Draws
29%
Molodechno
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Osipovichi haven't matched Molodechno's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Pershaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Molodechno have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Osipovichi Clean Sheet 10%
Molodechno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Osipovichi Molodechno
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 8
Draws 2 2
Losses 21 19
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 3 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Pershaya Liga
Osipovichi vs Molodechno
1:5
Sep 23, 2023 Pershaya Liga
Molodechno vs Osipovichi
3:0
May 20, 2023 Pershaya Liga
Osipovichi vs Molodechno
0:1
Oct 22, 2022 Pershaya Liga
Molodechno vs Osipovichi
2:1
Jul 3, 2022 Pershaya Liga
Osipovichi vs Molodechno
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Osipovichi Compare

Top Goalscorer Elezarenko E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Molodechno Compare

Top Goalscorer Shmarov E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gruzhevskiy D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Osipovichi 30 / 100
Molodechno 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Osipovichi Molodechno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Molodechno's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Osipovichi's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Difficult form: Molodechno registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Osipovichi VS Molodechno
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
3 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Osipovichi

(Home)
18 Jul
Osipovichi
1 : 3
Dnepr Mogilev
11 Jul
Uni X Labs
1 : 0
Osipovichi
05 Jul
Osipovichi
1 : 5
Molodechno
27 Jun
FC Gomel 2
5 : 2
Osipovichi
20 Jun
Osipovichi
2 : 1
Orsha
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Molodechno

(Away)
11 Jul
Molodechno
2 : 3
FC Minsk 2
05 Jul
Osipovichi
1 : 5
Molodechno
27 Jun
Molodechno
0 : 2
FK Lida
21 Jun
Niva Dolbizno
6 : 0
Molodechno
17 Jun
Molodechno
1 : 4
BATE
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Slutsk15112232:1635
2SKA-1938 Minsk15104137:1634
3FK Lida1583427:2327
4FC Slonim1583428:1727
5Niva Dolbizno1583435:1827
6Soligorsk1574433:2025
7BumProm Gomel1573530:2124
8Din. Minsk 21473429:2024
9Volna Pinsk1572625:2523
10Molodechno1561821:3119
11FC Gomel 21545623:2117
12FC Minsk 21551918:3116
13Orsha1443715:2515
14Ostrovets1529418:2115
15Uni X Labs1543813:2415
16Smorgon1535718:2414
17BATE 21525820:3711
18Osipovichi15111315:474
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)