Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Osipovichi vs Molodechno

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga Yunost Stadium, Osipovichi
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Shmarov E.
Assist: Dubovik T.
38' Event
Shmarov E.
Assist: Gruzhevskiy D.
46'
Sub
Drapeza V. In: Denisenko D.
Out: Drapeza V.

AI Match Summary

The Pershaya Liga game between Osipovichi and Molodechno finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Molodechno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Osipovichi
30%
Draws
61%
Molodechno
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Molodechno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Osipovichi haven't matched Molodechno's recent run of results.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Molodechno taking it.
  • Regular Pershaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Molodechno have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Osipovichi Clean Sheet 10%
Molodechno Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Osipovichi Molodechno
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 15
Draws 4 3
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 1.14 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.41 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Pershaya Liga
Osipovichi vs Molodechno
1:5
Sep 23, 2023 Pershaya Liga
Molodechno vs Osipovichi
3:0
May 20, 2023 Pershaya Liga
Osipovichi vs Molodechno
0:1
Oct 22, 2022 Pershaya Liga
Molodechno vs Osipovichi
2:1
Jul 3, 2022 Pershaya Liga
Osipovichi vs Molodechno
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Osipovichi Compare

Top Goalscorer Elezarenko E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Molodechno Compare

Top Goalscorer Shmarov E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gruzhevskiy D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Osipovichi 10 / 100
Molodechno 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Osipovichi Molodechno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Molodechno Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Osipovichi's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Molodechno's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

Osipovichi has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Osipovichi VS Molodechno
0.75 Goals Scored 2.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Osipovichi

(Home)
27 Sept
Osipovichi
3 : 3
BumProm Gomel
19 Sept
FC Minsk 2
1 : 1
Osipovichi
13 Sept
Soligorsk
2 : 1
Osipovichi
05 Sept
Osipovichi
1 : 2
FK Lida
30 Aug
Niva Dolbizno
6 : 0
Osipovichi
Page 1 of 6

Molodechno

(Away)
20 Sept
Molodechno
3 : 2
Ostrovets
12 Sept
FC Slonim
0 : 0
Molodechno
04 Sept
Molodechno
3 : 0
BATE 2
29 Aug
Uni X Labs
0 : 1
Molodechno
21 Aug
Molodechno
4 : 1
Soligorsk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Niva Dolbizno 26 17 3 6 67:31 54
2 Slutsk 26 16 6 4 52:27 54
3 FK Lida 26 16 3 7 49:43 51
4 SKA-1938 Minsk 26 15 5 6 53:31 50
5 FC Slonim 26 14 4 8 48:31 46
6 Molodechno 25 14 3 8 44:36 45
7 Soligorsk 26 11 6 9 51:43 39
8 BumProm Gomel 26 11 5 10 50:40 38
9 Din. Minsk 2 25 10 5 10 42:37 35
10 Ostrovets 26 8 10 8 36:38 34
11 Volna Pinsk 26 10 4 12 40:48 34
12 Smorgon 26 8 6 12 31:36 30
13 FC Minsk 2 26 9 3 14 36:48 30
14 Uni X Labs 26 6 8 12 25:35 26
15 Orsha 26 7 5 14 28:51 26
16 BATE 2 26 5 6 15 35:60 21
17 FC Gomel 2 26 5 6 15 36:52 21
18 Osipovichi 26 5 4 17 29:65 19
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)