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OSK Besenova vs Zarnovica

Slovakia Slovakia

4. liga - Central 2022/2023
Sun, Jun 18, 2023
3 - 0
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

OSK Besenova play Zarnovica in the 4. liga - Central 2022/2023. OSK Besenova are favorites here. Recently, OSK Besenova averaged 2.44 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. Zarnovica averaged 1.3 goals scored and 4.27 conceded. In past meetings, OSK Besenova won 2, Zarnovica won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 18, 2023 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.42 for OSK Besenova and 0.81 for Zarnovica. This points to a OSK Besenova double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
OSK Besenova
17%
Draws
10%
Zarnovica
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: OSK Besenova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • OSK Besenova picked up more points recently compared to Zarnovica.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.42 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
OSK Besenova Clean Sheet 26%
Zarnovica Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric OSK Besenova Zarnovica
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 22 3
Draws 7 4
Losses 7 23
Goals Scored 2.44 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.97 4.27

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 18, 2023 4. liga - Central
OSK Besenova vs Zarnovica
3:0
Oct 30, 2022 4. liga - Central
Zarnovica vs OSK Besenova
3:6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

OSK Besenova 71 / 100
Zarnovica 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
OSK Besenova Zarnovica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OSK Besenova Win (1)
Secondary Pick OSK Besenova & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.4%
1.54
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.4%
1.52
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

OSK Besenova attacking → ← attacking Zarnovica

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

OSK Besenova scored in 86% of their last 36 games.

Zarnovica let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

OSK Besenova went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Zarnovica lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

73 Points in last 5 13
3.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00