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OSK Otok vs Zagora

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL South
OSK Otok Logo

OSK Otok

1 - 0
FT
Zagora Logo

Zagora

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

OSK Otok in this 3. HNL South matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored OSK Otok.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
OSK Otok
30%
Draws
37%
Zagora
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zagora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Zagora lately — more wins on the board than OSK Otok.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Zagora taking it.
  • Regular 3. HNL South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
OSK Otok Clean Sheet 18%
Zagora Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric OSK Otok Zagora
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 6 15
Draws 4 10
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 1.4 1.79
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.85
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2022 3. HNL South
OSK Otok vs Zagora
1:0
Sep 25, 2021 3. HNL South
Zagora vs OSK Otok
5:0
Jun 12, 2021 3. HNL South
OSK Otok vs Zagora
5:2
Mar 13, 2021 3. HNL South
Zagora vs OSK Otok
6:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

OSK Otok 15 / 100
Zagora 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
OSK Otok Zagora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zagora Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.25 goals.

OSK Otok scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Zagora conceded in 77% of 39 recent games.

Solid form: OSK Otok remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

OSK Otok VS Zagora
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

OSK Otok

(Home)
28 May
OSK Otok
2 : 1
Zmaj Makarska
22 May
Neretvanac
1 : 1
OSK Otok
14 May
OSK Otok
3 : 4
Urania Baska Voda
07 May
NK Junak Sinj
2 : 1
OSK Otok
01 May
OSK Otok
4 : 1
Kamen Podbablje
Page 1 of 6

Zagora

(Away)
26 Sept
Lucko
1 : 3
Zagora
19 Sept
Zagora
5 : 0
Uljanik Pula
12 Sept
Solin
1 : 1
Zagora
09 Sept
Zagora
0 : 4
Varazdin
05 Sept
Zagora
1 : 1
Dragovoljac
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jadran Luka Ploce 34 20 5 9 67:28 65
2 Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje 34 18 6 10 56:38 60
3 Hrvace 34 18 6 10 46:39 60
4 HNK Zadar 34 16 11 7 69:28 59
5 Neretva 34 16 7 11 50:36 55
6 RNK Split 34 15 7 12 52:40 52
7 NK Junak Sinj 34 16 4 14 49:46 52
8 Uskok Klis 34 15 6 13 51:54 51
9 Sloga Mravince 34 12 14 8 48:45 50
10 Primorac Biograd 34 14 6 14 60:56 48
11 Zagora 34 12 8 14 47:52 44
12 GOSK Dubrovnik 34 11 10 13 35:34 43
13 Zmaj Makarska 34 11 10 13 28:39 43
14 Neretvanac 34 10 8 16 40:53 38
15 Kamen Podbablje 34 9 10 15 37:51 37
16 Vodice 34 8 9 17 44:73 33
17 Urania Baska Voda 34 10 3 21 33:65 33
18 OSK Otok 34 6 8 20 48:83 26
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)