Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Oskarshamn vs IFK Berga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland Arena Oskarshamn, Oskarshamn
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Oskarshamn host IFK Berga in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. IFK Berga have shipped 1.66 goals a game lately, while Oskarshamn have conceded 1.29 and scored 2.29. Past meetings favor Oskarshamn slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 24, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (2.75 - 1.75) back Oskarshamn to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Oskarshamn
15%
Draws
51%
IFK Berga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: IFK Berga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Oskarshamn come out ahead of IFK Berga on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Oskarshamn's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Oskarshamn Clean Sheet 12%
IFK Berga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oskarshamn IFK Berga
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 2.29 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
IFK Berga vs Oskarshamn
1:1
Feb 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Oskarshamn vs IFK Berga
0:0
Jun 6, 2023 Svenska Cupen
IFK Berga vs Oskarshamn
3:0
Feb 15, 2020 Club Friendly
Oskarshamn vs IFK Berga
1:0
Nov 10, 2019 Division 1 - Norra
Oskarshamn vs IFK Berga
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oskarshamn 35 / 100
IFK Berga 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oskarshamn IFK Berga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Oskarshamn scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

IFK Berga let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Oskarshamn has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Oskarshamn VS IFK Berga
3.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Oskarshamn

(Home)
03 Oct
Torns
0 : 2
Oskarshamn
26 Sept
Oskarshamn
3 : 4
IFK Trelleborg
19 Sept
Karlskrona
2 : 0
Oskarshamn
12 Sept
Oskarshamn
7 : 1
Rappe GOIF
05 Sept
Oskarshamn
1 : 2
Nosaby IF
Page 1 of 6

IFK Berga

(Away)
04 Oct
IFK Berga
3 : 0
Osterlen FF
27 Sept
Solvesborgs
3 : 2
IFK Berga
19 Sept
IFK Berga
4 : 1
IFK Karlshamn
12 Sept
Nosaby IF
1 : 3
IFK Berga
06 Sept
IFK Berga
1 : 3
Lilla Torg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karlskrona 24 19 3 2 63:21 60
2 IFK Trelleborg 24 15 5 4 51:23 50
3 Oskarshamn 24 14 3 7 60:30 45
4 IFK Berga 24 12 4 8 52:36 40
5 Nosaby IF 24 11 6 7 45:39 39
6 Linero IF 24 12 2 10 45:41 38
7 Vaxjo Norra 24 9 8 7 31:33 35
8 Osterlen FF 24 8 6 10 37:41 30
9 Lilla Torg 24 6 10 8 33:41 28
10 Solvesborgs 24 9 1 14 35:46 28
11 Staffanstorp United 24 6 8 10 37:41 26
12 Torns 24 7 0 17 31:66 21
13 Rappe GOIF 24 4 6 14 25:53 18
14 IFK Karlshamn 24 4 2 18 26:60 14
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland (Relegation)