Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Osorno vs Colchagua CD

Chile Chile

Segunda Division Estadio Municipal Rubén Marcos Peralta, Osorno
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Castro G.
8'
Escobar F.
9'
Diaz R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Segunda Division matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Osorno
6%
Draws
4%
Colchagua CD
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Osorno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Osorno lately — more wins on the board than Colchagua CD.
  • Win probability leans Osorno's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Segunda Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Osorno Clean Sheet 68%
Colchagua CD Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Osorno Colchagua CD
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 11 8
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 0.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Segunda Division
Colchagua CD vs Osorno
0:0
Apr 18, 2026 Segunda Division
Osorno vs Colchagua CD
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Osorno Compare

Top Goalscorer Castro G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bielkiewicz D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Colchagua CD Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez V. M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Osorno 95 / 100
Colchagua CD 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Osorno Colchagua CD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OSO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Osorno went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Osorno's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Colchagua CD conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Osorno VS Colchagua CD
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
25% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Osorno

(Home)
12 Jul
Lota Schwager
2 : 2
Osorno
04 Jul
Osorno
3 : 0
General Velasquez
21 Jun
Colchagua CD
0 : 0
Osorno
06 Jun
Osorno
1 : 1
Linares Unido
30 May
S. Morning
0 : 0
Osorno
Page 1 of 6

Colchagua CD

(Away)
12 Jul
Linares Unido
4 : 0
Colchagua CD
05 Jul
Colchagua CD
0 : 2
Lota Schwager
27 Jun
Deportes Rengo
0 : 1
Colchagua CD
21 Jun
Colchagua CD
0 : 0
Osorno
31 May
General Velasquez
0 : 0
Colchagua CD
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brujas Salamanca1257011:522
2Concon National1263316:1021
3Santiago City1255218:1920
4Trasandino1253419:1718
5Real San Joaquin1234516:1713
6Atletico Colina1233615:1412
7Provincial Ovalle1213811:246
Promotion - Segunda Division (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Segunda Division (Qualification - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Osorno1266015:524
2Colchagua CD1264215:1122
3Linares Unido1261516:1219
4General Velasquez1251611:1516
5Lota Schwager1234511:1313
6Deportes Rengo1232710:1711
7S. Morning122469:1410
Promotion - Segunda Division (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Segunda Division (Qualification - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division (Relegation Group)