Sport Picks

Chile

Segunda Division Estadio Municipal Rubén Marcos Peralta

Osorno

1 - 0

S. Morning

Our Tip

Match Events

13'

Pacheco I.

14'

Bolado J.

36'

Delgado M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Osorno in this Segunda Division matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Osorno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Osorno

Draws

S. Morning

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Osorno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Osorno lately — more wins on the board than S. Morning.
Win probability leans Osorno's way, sitting at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%

Osorno Clean Sheet 68%

S. Morning Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Osorno	S. Morning
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	14	9
Draws	11	8
Losses	5	13
Goals Scored	0.88	0.88
Goals Conceded	0.38	1
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.38	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Segunda Division

S. Morning vs Osorno

Possession: 41% - 47% Cards: 4 - 3

0:0

Apr 4, 2026 Segunda Division

Osorno vs S. Morning

Possession: 40% - 53% Cards: 3 - 2

1:0

Oct 19, 2008 Liga de Primera

Osorno vs S. Morning

Possession: 44% - 46% Cards: 0 - 3

0:1

Apr 20, 2008 Liga de Primera

S. Morning vs Osorno

Possession: 51% - 50% Cards: 4 - 3

2:1

Oct 5, 2007 Liga de Ascenso

Osorno vs S. Morning

Possession: 43% - 50% Cards: 3 - 2

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Osorno Compare

Top Goalscorer Gutierrez J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

S. Morning Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Osorno 95 / 100

S. Morning 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Osorno S. Morning

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OSO Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Osorno found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Osorno remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

S. Morning let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

S. Morning lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Osorno VS S. Morning

0.88 Goals Scored 0.88

0.38 Goals Conceded 1

25% Over 1.5 50%

13% Over 2.5 25%

13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Brujas Salamanca	12	5	7	0	11:5	22
2	Concon National	12	6	3	3	16:10	21
3	Santiago City	12	5	5	2	18:19	20
4	Trasandino	12	5	3	4	19:17	18
5	Real San Joaquin	12	3	4	5	16:17	13
6	Atletico Colina	12	3	3	6	15:14	12
7	Provincial Ovalle	12	1	3	8	11:24	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Osorno	12	6	6	0	15:5	24
2	Colchagua CD	12	6	4	2	15:11	22
3	Linares Unido	12	6	1	5	16:12	19
4	General Velasquez	12	5	1	6	11:15	16
5	Lota Schwager	12	3	4	5	11:13	13
6	Deportes Rengo	12	3	2	7	10:17	11
7	S. Morning	12	2	4	6	9:14	10