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Ospitaletto vs Inter U23

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Stadio Comunale Gino Corioni, Ospitaletto
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
La Gumina A.
29' Event
Messaggi C.
46'
Sub
Fiordilino L. In: Kaczmarski I.
Out: Fiordilino L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 game between Ospitaletto and Inter U23 finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Ospitaletto
20%
Draws
33%
Inter U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ospitaletto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Ospitaletto carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Ospitaletto taking it.
  • Regular Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Ospitaletto Clean Sheet 68%
Inter U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ospitaletto Inter U23
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 12 9
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.31 0.93
Goals Conceded 1 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Ospitaletto vs Inter U23
2:2
Oct 30, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie C
Ospitaletto vs Inter U23
1:2
Oct 5, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Inter U23 vs Ospitaletto
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ospitaletto Compare

Top Goalscorer Messaggi C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Torri A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Inter U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer La Gumina A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kamate I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ospitaletto 59 / 100
Inter U23 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ospitaletto Inter U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OSP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.67 goals as a typical output.

Ospitaletto found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Inter U23 conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Ospitaletto stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ospitaletto VS Inter U23
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ospitaletto

(Home)
08 Aug
Rovato Vertovese
2 : 2
Ospitaletto
05 Aug
Ospitaletto
1 : 0
Scanzorosciate
01 Aug
Ospitaletto
5 : 1
Legnago Salus
25 Jul
Padova
1 : 3
Ospitaletto
25 Apr
Ospitaletto
0 : 2
Novara
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Inter U23

(Away)
09 Aug
Pergolettese
0 : 0
Inter U23
05 Aug
Lecco
0 : 3
Inter U23
02 Aug
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 2
Inter U23
26 Jul
Novara
2 : 1
Inter U23
25 Apr
Inter U23
0 : 1
Union Brescia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vicenza 38 27 8 3 69:26 89
2 Union Brescia 38 19 12 7 49:24 69
3 Renate 38 17 13 8 53:37 64
4 Lecco 38 18 10 10 47:34 64
5 Trento 38 16 15 7 58:42 63
6 Cittadella 38 17 8 13 45:43 59
7 Lumezzane 38 14 14 10 46:39 56
8 Alcione Milano 38 15 10 13 35:28 55
9 Arzignano 38 15 8 15 50:48 53
10 Giana Erminio 38 14 10 14 38:39 52
11 AlbinoLeffe 38 13 11 14 51:49 50
12 Inter U23 38 12 12 14 40:41 48
13 Novara 38 9 20 9 40:39 47
14 Pro Vercelli 38 13 7 18 39:55 46
15 Ospitaletto 38 10 15 13 41:43 45
16 Pergolettese 38 10 11 17 37:50 41
17 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 10 10 18 38:61 40
18 Virtus Verona 38 3 16 19 34:62 25
19 Pro Patria 38 4 11 23 34:70 23
20 Triestina 38 9 9 20 45:59 12
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)