Sport Picks
Ospitaletto vs Lumezzane
Italy
Serie C - Group A Stadio Comunale Gino Corioni, Ospitaletto 
Match Events
18'
18'
Mancini S.
46'
46'
Sub
Ndiaye M. In: Gauli N.
Out: Ndiaye M.
70'
70'
Sub
Anatriello G. In: Pavanati A.
Out: Anatriello G.
AI Match Summary
The Serie C - Group A game between Ospitaletto and Lumezzane finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ospitaletto.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
35%
25%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ospitaletto
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Ospitaletto come out ahead of Lumezzane on wins alone.
- Ospitaletto are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- Regular Serie C - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Lumezzane have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Ospitaletto Clean Sheet 68%
Lumezzane Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ospitaletto | Lumezzane |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 11 | 11 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Ospitaletto vs Lumezzane
2:0
Jan 31, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Ospitaletto vs Lumezzane
1:2
Sep 21, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Lumezzane vs Ospitaletto
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ospitaletto Compare
Top Goalscorer Mondini G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Stefanoni D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Lumezzane Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ospitaletto 86 / 100
Lumezzane 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ospitaletto Lumezzane
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ospitaletto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ospitaletto's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Lumezzane let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.33 goals.
Ospitaletto has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Ospitaletto VS Lumezzane
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Ospitaletto
(Home) 03 Oct
Ospitaletto
1 : 1 Renate
26 Sept
Novara
0 : 2 Ospitaletto
20 Sept
Ospitaletto
0 : 1 Cittadella
17 Sept
Carpi
2 : 2 Ospitaletto
13 Sept
Ospitaletto
3 : 0 Juventus U23
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Ospitaletto
1 : 1 Renate
20 Sept
Ospitaletto
0 : 1 Cittadella
13 Sept
Ospitaletto
3 : 0 Juventus U23
06 Sept
Ospitaletto
3 : 1 Arzignano
22 Aug
Ospitaletto
2 : 0 Lumezzane
Page 1 of 3
Lumezzane
(Away) 03 Oct
Inter
2 : 0 Lumezzane
26 Sept
Lumezzane
1 : 2 Folgore Caratese
21 Sept
Dolomiti Bellunesi
1 : 2 Lumezzane
17 Sept
Lumezzane
0 : 0 Novara
13 Sept
Lumezzane
2 : 2 Renate
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Inter
2 : 0 Lumezzane
21 Sept
Dolomiti Bellunesi
1 : 2 Lumezzane
06 Sept
Cittadella
2 : 1 Lumezzane
22 Aug
Ospitaletto
2 : 0 Lumezzane
01 Aug
Cremonese
0 : 0 Lumezzane
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 14:4 | 21 |
| 2 | Ospitaletto | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:6 | 15 |
| 3 | Union Brescia | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12:4 | 15 |
| 4 | Arzignano | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 14 |
| 5 | Trento | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9:3 | 13 |
| 6 | AlbinoLeffe | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 12 |
| 7 | Treviso | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8:6 | 12 |
| 8 | Alcione Milano | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10:11 | 10 |
| 9 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 6:5 | 10 |
| 10 | Desenzano Calvina | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6:7 | 10 |
| 11 | Pro Vercelli | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | 9 |
| 12 | Lumezzane | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 13 | Lecco | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:6 | 8 |
| 14 | Pergolettese | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3:5 | 8 |
| 15 | Carpi | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:17 | 6 |
| 16 | Folgore Caratese | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9:12 | 6 |
| 17 | Juventus U23 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:13 | 6 |
| 18 | Novara | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | 6 |
| 19 | Giana Erminio | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6:10 | 3 |
| 20 | Renate | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)
