Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ospitaletto vs Pro Patria

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Stadio Comunale Gino Corioni, Ospitaletto
Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Pogliano C.
45'
Mondini G.
46'
Sub
Frosali J. In: Ferri D.
Out: Frosali J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Ospitaletto
15%
Draws
46%
Pro Patria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pro Patria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Pro Patria haven't matched Ospitaletto's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Ospitaletto Clean Sheet 68%
Pro Patria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ospitaletto Pro Patria
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 8
Draws 10 5
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.52 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Ospitaletto vs Pro Patria
0:0
Oct 26, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Pro Patria vs Ospitaletto
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ospitaletto 41 / 100
Pro Patria 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ospitaletto Pro Patria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ospitaletto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pro Patria conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

Ospitaletto scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Ospitaletto went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 0.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Ospitaletto VS Pro Patria
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ospitaletto

(Home)
26 Sept
Novara
0 : 2
Ospitaletto
20 Sept
Ospitaletto
0 : 1
Cittadella
17 Sept
Carpi
2 : 2
Ospitaletto
13 Sept
Ospitaletto
3 : 0
Juventus U23
06 Sept
Ospitaletto
3 : 1
Arzignano
Page 1 of 6

Pro Patria

(Away)
27 Sept
Pro Patria
0 : 1
Solbiatese
20 Sept
Arconatese
0 : 3
Pro Patria
16 Sept
Pro Patria
2 : 0
Crema
12 Sept
US Pontedera
2 : 3
Pro Patria
06 Sept
Pro Patria
2 : 1
Oltrepo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vicenza 38 27 8 3 69:26 89
2 Union Brescia 38 19 12 7 49:24 69
3 Renate 38 17 13 8 53:37 64
4 Lecco 38 18 10 10 47:34 64
5 Trento 38 16 15 7 58:42 63
6 Cittadella 38 17 8 13 45:43 59
7 Lumezzane 38 14 14 10 46:39 56
8 Alcione Milano 38 15 10 13 35:28 55
9 Arzignano 38 15 8 15 50:48 53
10 Giana Erminio 38 14 10 14 38:39 52
11 AlbinoLeffe 38 13 11 14 51:49 50
12 Inter U23 38 12 12 14 40:41 48
13 Novara 38 9 20 9 40:39 47
14 Pro Vercelli 38 13 7 18 39:55 46
15 Ospitaletto 38 10 15 13 41:43 45
16 Pergolettese 38 10 11 17 37:50 41
17 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 10 10 18 38:61 40
18 Virtus Verona 38 3 16 19 34:62 25
19 Pro Patria 38 4 11 23 34:70 23
20 Triestina 38 9 9 20 45:59 12
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)