Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ossett Town vs 1874 Northwich - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

FA Cup 2017/2018
Tue, Oct 3, 2017
1 - 0
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Ossett Town advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Ossett Town
15%
Draws
39%
1874 Northwich
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ossett Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Ossett Town carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ossett Town are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Ossett Town have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ossett Town, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Ossett Town Clean Sheet 20%
1874 Northwich Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ossett Town 1874 Northwich
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 7
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.5 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2017 FA Cup
Ossett Town vs 1874 Northwich
1:0
Sep 30, 2017 FA Cup
1874 Northwich vs Ossett Town
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ossett Town 49 / 100
1874 Northwich 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ossett Town 1874 Northwich

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ossett Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ossett Town scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: 1874 Northwich conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Ossett Town has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS 1874 Northwich
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ossett Town

(Home)
28 Oct
Ossett Town
1 : 3
Droylsden
17 Oct
Ossett Town
1 : 2
Solihull Moors
14 Oct
Solihull Moors
1 : 1
Ossett Town
07 Oct
Ossett Town
3 : 0
Goole
03 Oct
Ossett Town
1 : 0
1874 Northwich
Page 1 of 6

1874 Northwich

(Away)
29 Aug
Blyth Spartans
2 : 0
1874 Northwich
14 Sept
Guiseley
3 : 0
1874 Northwich
31 Aug
1874 Northwich
3 : 2
Stocksbridge
30 Jul
Witton Albion
1 : 6
1874 Northwich
24 Jul
1874 Northwich
1 : 4
Salford
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Halifax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Tranmere -
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
1874 Northwich 4
Mossley AFC 2
TBD -
North Ferriby United -
Atherton Collieries 2
Cleethorpes 1
Consett 1
Ossett Town 2
South Shields 2
Witton Albion 0
TBD -
Darlington FC -
Salford -
TBD -
TBD -
York City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hartlepool -
Shaw Lane 3
Radcliffe 1
TBD -
Blyth Spartans -
Droylsden 4
Colwyn Bay 3
Colne 0
Lancaster 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Barrow -
Chorley -
TBD -
Farsley 1
Stalybridge 2
Albion Sports 3
Barnoldswick Town 2
Bamber Bridge 1
Ashton Athletic 2
AFC Mansfield 4
Dunkirk 0
Potton United 0
Rushall 1
Haughmond FC 3
Matlock 2
TBD -
Boston United -
Stafford 4
Peterborough Sports 3
TBD -
Tamworth -
Barwell 2
Sutton Coldfield Town 0
TBD -
Telford -
Stockport County -
TBD -
TBD -
Curzon Ashton -
Handsworth Parramore 2
Skelmersdale 1
TBD -
United of Manchester -
Harrogate -
TBD -
Whitby 2
Penistone Church 3
Southport -
TBD -
TBD -
Bradford PA -
Leamington -
TBD -
Soham 0
Westfields 1
Spennymoor -
TBD -
TBD -
Gainsborough -
Nantwich 2
City Of Liverpool 1
Leek Town 1
Shepshed 6
King’s Lynn 4
Coleshill Town 1
TBD -
Nuneaton -
Basford Utd. 3
Halesowen 0
Hinckley 1
Mickleover 2
Kidsgrove Athletic 3
Clitheroe 2
Romulus 0
Kettering 3
Buxton 3
Frickley 2
Boldmere St Michaels 0
Chasetown 3
Grantham Town 2
Holbeach 1
Market Drayton 1
Alvechurch 5
TBD -
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Gateshead -
Guiseley -
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Banbury 4
Tiverton 2
Hamworthy United 1
Thatcham 5
Altrincham 5
Abbey Hey 4
Bottesford Town 0
Shildon 1
AFC Fylde -
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Wrexham -
Kidderminster -
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Brocton 2
Deeping Rangers 4
Ashton United 3
Marine 1
Whitley Bay 0
Newcastle Benfield 2
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chester -
Scarborough Athletic 1
Workington 0
Liversedge 0
Sunderland Ryhope 4
Redditch 1
Lincoln Utd. 0
Newcastle Town 0
Stratford 4
Boston Town 2
Hednesford 0
Yaxley 0
Dereham 1
Warrington Town 1
Grimsby Borough 0
Kendal 0
Hyde 1
Stourbridge 3
Loughborough Dynamo 1
Coalville Town 0
St Ives Town 1
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3
Tividale 2
TBD -
Alfreton -
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Macclesfield -
Brackley -
TBD -
Shoreham 2
Kingstonian 3
Royston Town 2
Dunstable Town 0
TBD -
Braintree -
Hungerford -
TBD -
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Gloucester City -
Thamesmead 3
Lewes 0
Didcot 0
Billericay 5
Dagenham & Red. -
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Leyton Orient -
Eastleigh -
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Hornchurch 1
Romford 0
Grays 3
Hertford Town 4
Kempston 2
FC Wisbech Town 1
Godalming Town 0
Hereford 8
Aldershot -
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Torquay -
Bath City -
TBD -
Guildford City 1
Knaphill 3
Wingate & Finchley 5
Hendon 3
TBD -
Hemel Hempstead -
Weymouth 5
Odd Down 0
TBD -
Chippenham Town -
Ramsgate 7
Egham Town 5
TBD -
Chelmsford -
Oxford City -
TBD -
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Whitehawk -
Crowborough 2
Sevenoaks 0
Aylesbury Vale 1
Leiston 3
Eastbourne Borough -
TBD -
Pagham 3
Carshalton 5
Weston-super-Mare -
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TBD -
Bognor Regis -
Maidenhead -
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TBD -
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Hayes & Yeading 7
Maldon & Tiptree 6
Hadley 2
Romania 3
Merthyr Town 6
Willand Rovers 1
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Havant & Waterlooville -
Haringey Borough 3
Hitchin 2
TBD -
Welling -
Bodmin Town 2
Horndean 0
Bishops Cleeve 1
Bideford 5
Frome Town 2
AFC Totton 1
Taunton Town 3
Tavistock 4
Metropolitan Police 3
Staines 2
Arlesey 0
Heybridge 7
Woking -
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TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
Dorking Wanderers 3
Worthing FC 2
Takeley 0
Cheshunt 2
Tunbridge Wells 5
Haywards Heath 2
TBD -
Concord Rangers -
Hampton & Richmond -
TBD -
Stortford 0
Potters 1
Hartley Wintney 3
Basingstoke 2
Moneyfields 1
Cinderford Town 2
Sudbury 5
Mildenhall 3
Littlehampton 2
Chipstead 6
Portchester 1
Dorchester 0
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Truro -
Dover Ath. -
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Bromley -
Slough Town 3
Berkhamsted Town 1
Hastings 1
Dulwich Hamlet 3
Salisbury 3
Farnborough 2
TBD -
Poole Town -
Aylesbury United 1
Tilbury 0
Thame United 3
Baldock 4
Tooting & Mitcham 2
Merstham 0
Greenwich Borough 2
Folkestone 3
Burgess Hill 3
Erith Town 0
Cockfosters 0
Colney Heath 3
Faversham 3
Tonbridge 1
TBD -
Wealdstone -
Needham Market 3
Clapton 0
Great Yarmouth Town 0
Chesham 2
Barking 4
Gorleston 0
TBD -
Dartford -
St. Albans -
TBD -
Neots 1
Cambridge City 3
Cadbury Heath 2
Andover Town 1
Barnstaple Town 0
Bridport 1
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Boreham Wood -
Maidstone -
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Phoenix Sports 2
Eastbourne Town 0
Banstead Athletic 0
Glebe 4
Hanwell Town 4
Brightlingsea 1
Harrow Borough 1
Enfield Town 2
Margate 3
East Grinstead Town 1
Haverhill Borough 0
Kings Langley 8
Horsham FC 6
Ashford United 0
Walton Casuals 1
Herne Bay 3
Ashford Town 2
Corinthian-Casuals 0
Beaconsfield Town 0
Marlow 2
Ware 2
FC Witham Town 1
Cray Valley 0
Leatherhead 6
Paulton Rovers 1
Winchester City 0
Margaretsbury 1
Kidlington 6
Gosport Borough 1
Bridgwater United 0
Tuffley Rovers 0
Swindon Supermarine 5
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Sutton -
East Thurrock Utd -
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North Leigh 4
Biggleswade Town 5
Lowestoft 2
Bedford 0
Thurrock 2
Harlow 3
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TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
Ebbsfleet -
Quarter-finals
Halifax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tranmere -
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
1874 Northwich 1
North Ferriby United 0
Atherton Collieries 0
Ossett Town 1
South Shields 3
Darlington FC 0
Salford 1
York City 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hartlepool -
Shaw Lane 2
Blyth Spartans 1
Droylsden 0
Lancaster 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Barrow -
Chorley 3
Stalybridge 1
Albion Sports 0
Ashton Athletic 4
AFC Mansfield 2
Rushall 1
Haughmond FC 1
Boston United 6
Stafford 1
Tamworth 0
Barwell 0
Telford 2
Stockport County 1
Curzon Ashton 0
Handsworth Parramore 3
United of Manchester 7
Harrogate 3
Penistone Church 0
Southport 0
Bradford PA 3
Leamington 2
Westfields 0
Spennymoor 1
Gainsborough 2
Nantwich 1
Shepshed 0
King’s Lynn 1
Nuneaton 3
Basford Utd. 1
Mickleover 0
Kidsgrove Athletic 0
Kettering 2
Buxton 4
Chasetown 1
Grantham Town 3
Alvechurch 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
Guiseley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbury 2
Thatcham 0
Altrincham 0
Shildon 1
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Wrexham -
Kidderminster 4
Deeping Rangers 2
Ashton United 1
Newcastle Benfield 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chester -
Scarborough Athletic 2
Sunderland Ryhope 0
Redditch 1
Stratford 4
Boston Town 2
Dereham 1
Warrington Town 1
Hyde 3
Stourbridge 2
St Ives Town 0
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3
Alfreton 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Macclesfield -
Brackley 3
Kingstonian 0
Royston Town 3
Braintree 4
Hungerford 3
Gloucester City 0
Thamesmead 1
Billericay 6
Dagenham & Red. -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leyton Orient -
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hornchurch 2
Hertford Town 1
Kempston 0
Hereford 4
Aldershot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torquay -
Bath City 6
Knaphill 0
Wingate & Finchley 1
Hemel Hempstead 2
Weymouth 2
Chippenham Town 0
Ramsgate 0
Chelmsford 7
Oxford City 3
Whitehawk 1
Crowborough 2
Leiston 4
Eastbourne Borough 4
Carshalton 3
Weston-super-Mare 1
Bognor Regis 2
Maidenhead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hayes & Yeading 4
Romania 2
Merthyr Town 1
Havant & Waterlooville 2
Haringey Borough 2
Welling 1
Bodmin Town 1
Bideford 2
Frome Town 2
Tavistock 1
Metropolitan Police 3
Heybridge 4
Woking -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dorking Wanderers 3
Cheshunt 1
Tunbridge Wells 0
Concord Rangers 4
Hampton & Richmond 4
Potters 1
Hartley Wintney 0
Cinderford Town 1
Sudbury 3
Chipstead 0
Portchester 0
Truro 2
Dover Ath. -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Bromley -
Slough Town 3
Dulwich Hamlet 2
Salisbury 0
Poole Town 2
Aylesbury United 2
Baldock 1
Tooting & Mitcham 1
Folkestone 3
Burgess Hill 6
Colney Heath 3
Faversham 0
Wealdstone 4
Needham Market 2
Chesham 0
Barking 1
Dartford 3
St. Albans 5
Cambridge City 3
Cadbury Heath 4
Bridport 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boreham Wood -
Maidstone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Phoenix Sports 4
Glebe 3
Hanwell Town 0
Enfield Town 5
Margate 1
Kings Langley 0
Horsham FC 2
Herne Bay 5
Ashford Town 2
Marlow 0
Ware 2
Leatherhead 5
Paulton Rovers 3
Kidlington 2
Gosport Borough 1
Swindon Supermarine 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sutton -
East Thurrock Utd 1
Biggleswade Town 0
Lowestoft 0
Harlow 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ebbsfleet -
Semi-finals
Halifax -
TBD -
TBD -
Tranmere -
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
1874 Northwich 2
Ossett Town 3
South Shields 3
York City 2
TBD -
Hartlepool -
Shaw Lane 2
Lancaster 1
TBD -
Barrow -
Chorley 1
Ashton Athletic 0
AFC Mansfield 0
Boston United 2
Stafford 2
Telford 5
Stockport County 3
United of Manchester 4
Harrogate 2
Bradford PA 0
Leamington 0
Gainsborough 2
Nantwich 3
Nuneaton 1
Basford Utd. 2
Kettering 3
Buxton 2
Alvechurch 1
TBD -
Gateshead -
Guiseley -
TBD -
Banbury 2
Shildon 3
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
TBD -
Wrexham -
Kidderminster 1
Newcastle Benfield 0
TBD -
Chester -
Scarborough Athletic 6
Stratford 3
Boston Town 2
Hyde 3
Stourbridge 3
Alfreton 1
TBD -
Macclesfield -
Brackley 4
Braintree 1
Hungerford 2
Billericay 7
Dagenham & Red. -
TBD -
TBD -
Leyton Orient -
Eastleigh -
TBD -
Hornchurch 0
Hereford 2
Aldershot -
TBD -
TBD -
Torquay -
Bath City 3
Hemel Hempstead 0
Weymouth 1
Chelmsford 2
Oxford City 4
Leiston 2
Eastbourne Borough 0
Bognor Regis 2
Maidenhead -
TBD -
Hayes & Yeading 0
Havant & Waterlooville 4
Haringey Borough 4
Bideford 1
Frome Town 1
Heybridge 2
Woking -
TBD -
Dorking Wanderers 0
Concord Rangers 3
Hampton & Richmond 3
Cinderford Town 2
Sudbury 1
Truro 4
Dover Ath. -
TBD -
TBD -
Bromley -
Slough Town 2
Poole Town 1
Aylesbury United 1
Folkestone 2
Burgess Hill 1
Wealdstone 0
Needham Market 1
Dartford 6
St. Albans 2
Bridport 1
TBD -
Boreham Wood -
Maidstone -
TBD -
Phoenix Sports 0
Enfield Town 3
Margate 2
Herne Bay 0
Ashford Town 1
Leatherhead 2
Paulton Rovers 3
Swindon Supermarine 2
TBD -
Sutton -
East Thurrock Utd 4
Harlow 3
TBD -
Ebbsfleet -
Stage 5
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Stage 4
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Stage 3
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Stage 2
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Stage 1
TBD -
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Final
Halifax 1
Tranmere 3
Solihull Moors 3
Ossett Town 2
South Shields 1
Hartlepool 2
Shaw Lane 2
Barrow 1
Chorley 4
Boston United 3
Telford 3
United of Manchester 1
Harrogate 1
Gainsborough 2
Nantwich 2
Kettering 1
Buxton 1
Gateshead 2
Guiseley 6
Shildon 0
AFC Fylde 1
Wrexham 0
Kidderminster 2
Chester 0
Scarborough Athletic 0
Hyde 2
Stourbridge 0
Macclesfield 5
Brackley 4
Billericay 5
Dagenham & Red. 0
Leyton Orient 1
Eastleigh 1
Hereford 2
Aldershot 1
Torquay 0
Bath City 0
Chelmsford 1
Oxford City 1
Bognor Regis 0
Maidenhead 2
Havant & Waterlooville 1
Haringey Borough 2
Heybridge 4
Woking 3
Concord Rangers 2
Hampton & Richmond 0
Truro 2
Dover Ath. 0
Bromley 3
Slough Town 1
Folkestone 0
Burgess Hill 0
Dartford 1
St. Albans 1
Boreham Wood 3
Maidstone 5
Enfield Town 3
Margate 1
Leatherhead 2
Paulton Rovers 2
Sutton 3
East Thurrock Utd 0
Ebbsfleet 3