Sport Picks

England

FA Trophy 2025/2026

Nantwich

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ossett United play Nantwich in the FA Trophy 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ossett United averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.76 conceded. Nantwich averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. In past meetings, Ossett United won 0, Nantwich won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 6, 2025 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.27 for Ossett United and 1.68 for Nantwich. This points to a Nantwich double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%

Ossett United

15%

Draws

50%

Nantwich

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nantwich

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Ossett United picked up more points recently compared to Nantwich.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.27 vs 1.68 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 78%

Over 2.5 Goals 67%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%

Ossett United Clean Sheet 13%

Nantwich Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 70%

Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ossett United	Nantwich
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	12	13
Draws	0	5
Losses	17	12
Goals Scored	1.14	1.5
Goals Conceded	1.76	1.57
Expected Goals (xG)	1.29	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.86	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2025 FA Trophy

Ossett United vs Nantwich

Possession: 59% - 48% Cards: 1 - 2

1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ossett United 34 / 100

Nantwich 47 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ossett United Nantwich

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Nantwich or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +29.5%

3.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.64

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ossett United attacking → ← attacking Nantwich

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ossett United scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Nantwich let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Ossett United went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Nantwich lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 44

1.29 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

1.86 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25