Sport Picks

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Oster vs Falkenberg

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Spiris Arena, Växjö
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Adolfsson M.
Own Goal
27'
Olsson D.
30' Event
Andersson A.
Assist: Lindberg O.

AI Match Summary

The Superettan game between Oster and Falkenberg finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Falkenberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Oster
11%
Draws
80%
Falkenberg
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Falkenberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Oster haven't matched Falkenberg's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Falkenberg's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Oster Clean Sheet 10%
Falkenberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oster Falkenberg
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 17
Draws 4 6
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 2 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Superettan
Oster vs Falkenberg
1:3
Feb 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Oster vs Falkenberg
2:2
Aug 23, 2023 Svenska Cupen
Falkenberg vs Oster
1:2
Mar 3, 2023 Club Friendly
Oster vs Falkenberg
1:1
Sep 19, 2021 Superettan
Falkenberg vs Oster
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oster Compare

Top Goalscorer Uddenas O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Falkenberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Andersson A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mohammad E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oster 10 / 100
Falkenberg 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oster Falkenberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Oster scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Falkenberg let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Oster has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Oster VS Falkenberg
2 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Oster

(Home)
27 Jul
Oster
3 : 0
Varberg
18 Jul
Oster
3 : 2
Brage
10 Jul
Oster
0 : 3
Lyngby
27 Jun
Varberg
2 : 1
Oster
21 Jun
Oster
1 : 3
Falkenberg
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Falkenberg

(Away)
26 Jul
Sundsvall
1 : 2
Falkenberg
21 Jul
Falkenberg
2 : 3
Helsingborg
17 Jul
Falkenberg
6 : 0
Laholms
11 Jul
Falkenberg
1 : 2
Landskrona
26 Jun
Brage
2 : 4
Falkenberg
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Norrkoping16102427:1032
2Falkenberg1694332:2431
3Varberg1693432:2230
4Ostersund1675426:2126
5Nordic United1675426:2326
6Oster1682627:2526
7Landskrona1674522:1725
8Helsingborg1673630:3224
9Ljungskile1664623:2122
10Oddevold1656528:2621
11Sandviken1654725:2519
12Norrby1639421:2318
13Brage1645728:2917
14Orebro1636713:2215
15Varnamo16321117:3411
16Sundsvall16301313:369
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)