Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Oster vs Falkenberg

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Spiris Arena, Växjö
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Adolfsson M.
Own Goal
27'
Olsson D.
30' Event
Andersson A.
Assist: Lindberg O.

AI Match Summary

The Superettan game between Oster and Falkenberg finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Falkenberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Oster
20%
Draws
57%
Falkenberg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Falkenberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Oster haven't matched Falkenberg's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Falkenberg's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Oster Clean Sheet 16%
Falkenberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oster Falkenberg
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 16
Draws 3 6
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.59 2
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 Superettan
Falkenberg vs Oster
2:1
Jun 21, 2026 Superettan
Oster vs Falkenberg
1:3
Feb 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Oster vs Falkenberg
2:2
Aug 23, 2023 Svenska Cupen
Falkenberg vs Oster
1:2
Mar 3, 2023 Club Friendly
Oster vs Falkenberg
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oster Compare

Top Goalscorer Uddenas O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Falkenberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Andersson A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mohammad E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oster 23 / 100
Falkenberg 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oster Falkenberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Falkenberg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Oster scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Falkenberg has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Oster has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Oster VS Falkenberg
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Oster

(Home)
19 Sept
Oster
1 : 3
Norrkoping
15 Sept
Varnamo
1 : 3
Oster
10 Sept
Falkenberg
2 : 1
Oster
04 Sept
Oster
1 : 2
Nordic United
30 Aug
Sandviken
1 : 1
Oster
Page 1 of 6

Falkenberg

(Away)
18 Sept
Falkenberg
0 : 0
Ostersund
13 Sept
Ljungskile
0 : 2
Falkenberg
10 Sept
Falkenberg
2 : 1
Oster
05 Sept
Oddevold
2 : 1
Falkenberg
29 Aug
Falkenberg
4 : 1
Brage
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 25 17 4 4 48:16 55
2 Falkenberg 25 13 6 6 46:33 45
3 Varberg 25 13 5 7 44:33 44
4 Ostersund 25 11 10 4 33:24 43
5 Landskrona 25 11 7 7 39:26 40
6 Sandviken 25 10 7 8 43:33 37
7 Oddevold 25 9 9 7 38:34 36
8 Oster 25 11 3 11 38:38 36
9 Nordic United 25 9 9 7 38:40 36
10 Helsingborg 25 8 6 11 36:45 30
11 Varnamo 25 8 5 12 33:45 29
12 Ljungskile 25 6 7 12 31:38 25
13 Norrby 25 4 12 9 28:35 24
14 Orebro 25 5 9 11 27:39 24
15 Brage 25 5 8 12 39:48 23
16 Sundsvall 25 6 1 18 19:53 19
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)