Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Oster vs Varnamo

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Spiris Arena, Växjö
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Carlstrand L.
Assist: Ask D.
16' Event
Carlstrand L.
Assist: Olsson D.
29' Event
Wendt K.
Assist: Ask D.

AI Match Summary

The Superettan game between Oster and Varnamo finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Oster.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Oster
20%
Draws
57%
Varnamo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Varnamo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Oster come out ahead of Varnamo on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Superettan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Oster Clean Sheet 16%
Varnamo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oster Varnamo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 3 6
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.67 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Superettan
Varnamo vs Oster
1:3
Jun 9, 2026 Superettan
Oster vs Varnamo
3:0
Sep 14, 2025 Allsvenskan
Oster vs Varnamo
4:3
May 24, 2025 Allsvenskan
Varnamo vs Oster
1:1
Feb 10, 2024 Club Friendly
Varnamo vs Oster
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oster Compare

Top Goalscorer Carlstrand L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Wendt K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Varnamo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oster 36 / 100
Varnamo 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oster Varnamo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varnamo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oster's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Varnamo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Oster has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Oster VS Varnamo
1.63 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Oster

(Home)
19 Sept
Oster
1 : 3
Norrkoping
15 Sept
Varnamo
1 : 3
Oster
10 Sept
Falkenberg
2 : 1
Oster
04 Sept
Oster
1 : 2
Nordic United
30 Aug
Sandviken
1 : 1
Oster
Page 1 of 6

Varnamo

(Away)
19 Sept
Oddevold
1 : 2
Varnamo
15 Sept
Varnamo
1 : 3
Oster
09 Sept
Nordic United
2 : 4
Varnamo
05 Sept
Varnamo
1 : 1
Varberg
29 Aug
Ljungskile
0 : 1
Varnamo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 25 17 4 4 48:16 55
2 Falkenberg 25 13 6 6 46:33 45
3 Varberg 25 13 5 7 44:33 44
4 Ostersund 25 11 10 4 33:24 43
5 Landskrona 25 11 7 7 39:26 40
6 Sandviken 25 10 7 8 43:33 37
7 Oddevold 25 9 9 7 38:34 36
8 Oster 25 11 3 11 38:38 36
9 Nordic United 25 9 9 7 38:40 36
10 Helsingborg 25 8 6 11 36:45 30
11 Varnamo 25 8 5 12 33:45 29
12 Ljungskile 25 6 7 12 31:38 25
13 Norrby 25 4 12 9 28:35 24
14 Orebro 25 5 9 11 27:39 24
15 Brage 25 5 8 12 39:48 23
16 Sundsvall 25 6 1 18 19:53 19
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)