Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Oster vs Varnamo

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Spiris Arena, Växjö
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Carlstrand L.
Assist: Ask D.
16' Event
Carlstrand L.
Assist: Olsson D.
29' Event
Wendt K.
Assist: Ask D.

AI Match Summary

The Superettan game between Oster and Varnamo finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Oster.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Oster
11%
Draws
9%
Varnamo
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Oster

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Oster come out ahead of Varnamo on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Oster's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Superettan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Oster Clean Sheet 20%
Varnamo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oster Varnamo
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 5
Draws 4 6
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.63 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2026 Superettan
Oster vs Varnamo
3:0
Sep 14, 2025 Allsvenskan
Oster vs Varnamo
4:3
May 24, 2025 Allsvenskan
Varnamo vs Oster
1:1
Feb 10, 2024 Club Friendly
Varnamo vs Oster
3:1
Feb 25, 2023 Club Friendly
Oster vs Varnamo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oster Compare

Top Goalscorer Carlstrand L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Wendt K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Varnamo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oster 76 / 100
Varnamo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oster Varnamo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OST Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oster's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Varnamo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Difficult form: Varnamo registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Oster VS Varnamo
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Oster

(Home)
27 Jul
Oster
3 : 0
Varberg
18 Jul
Oster
3 : 2
Brage
10 Jul
Oster
0 : 3
Lyngby
27 Jun
Varberg
2 : 1
Oster
21 Jun
Oster
1 : 3
Falkenberg
Page 1 of 6

Varnamo

(Away)
25 Jul
Varnamo
0 : 0
Brage
19 Jul
Varnamo
2 : 3
Ljungskile
13 Jul
Varnamo
0 : 2
Naestved IF
28 Jun
Landskrona
1 : 0
Varnamo
21 Jun
Brage
5 : 1
Varnamo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Norrkoping16102427:1032
2Falkenberg1694332:2431
3Varberg1693432:2230
4Ostersund1675426:2126
5Nordic United1675426:2326
6Oster1682627:2526
7Landskrona1674522:1725
8Helsingborg1673630:3224
9Ljungskile1664623:2122
10Oddevold1656528:2621
11Sandviken1654725:2519
12Norrby1639421:2318
13Brage1645728:2917
14Orebro1636713:2215
15Varnamo16321117:3411
16Sundsvall16301313:369
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)