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Osteraker IFK vs FC Jarfalla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Svealand 2025
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Match Events

3' Event
Danha C. F.
15' Event
Medhin T N.
44' Event
Danha C. F.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norra Svealand 2025 game between Osteraker IFK and FC Jarfalla finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Jarfalla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Osteraker IFK
20%
Draws
64%
FC Jarfalla
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Jarfalla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Osteraker IFK haven't matched FC Jarfalla's recent run of results.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on FC Jarfalla taking it.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norra Svealand 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • FC Jarfalla have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Osteraker IFK Clean Sheet 16%
FC Jarfalla Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Osteraker IFK FC Jarfalla
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 7
Draws 5 5
Losses 22 19
Goals Scored 1.07 1.45
Goals Conceded 2.73 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
Osteraker IFK vs FC Jarfalla
0:5
Apr 27, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
FC Jarfalla vs Osteraker IFK
2:0
Sep 1, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
FC Jarfalla vs Osteraker IFK
1:2
May 4, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
Osteraker IFK vs FC Jarfalla
0:2
Aug 20, 2023 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
FC Jarfalla vs Osteraker IFK
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Osteraker IFK Compare

Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

FC Jarfalla Compare

Top Goalscorer Danha C. F.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Medhin T N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Osteraker IFK 10 / 100
FC Jarfalla 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Osteraker IFK FC Jarfalla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Jarfalla Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Jarfalla has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Osteraker IFK's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

FC Jarfalla lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS FC Jarfalla
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Osteraker IFK

(Home)
18 Oct
Osteraker IFK
0 : 5
FC Jarfalla
11 Oct
Kungsangen
6 : 0
Osteraker IFK
04 Oct
Osteraker IFK
1 : 2
Ytterhogdal
26 Sept
IK Franke
5 : 4
Osteraker IFK
20 Sept
Viggbyholms
2 : 2
Osteraker IFK
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FC Jarfalla

(Away)
03 Oct
IFK Stocksund
1 : 1
FC Jarfalla
26 Sept
FC Jarfalla
2 : 4
AFC Eskilstuna
20 Sept
Pitea
3 : 1
FC Jarfalla
17 Sept
FC Jarfalla
5 : 0
Karlbergs
12 Sept
Gefle
3 : 1
FC Jarfalla
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Jarfalla 26 19 4 3 60:19 61
2 Falu BS 26 16 7 3 53:24 55
3 Bollstanas 26 14 5 7 57:36 47
4 Sunnersta AIF 26 13 6 7 56:40 45
5 Viggbyholms 26 13 6 7 53:43 45
6 Nacka FC 26 13 3 10 65:45 42
7 IK Franke 26 10 8 8 49:46 38
8 Taby FK 26 10 4 12 55:47 34
9 Kungsangen 26 9 6 11 37:36 33
10 Skiljebo 26 8 7 11 43:52 31
11 Korsnas 26 8 7 11 40:57 31
12 Gute 26 6 4 16 39:55 22
13 Ytterhogdal 26 4 2 20 28:90 14
14 Osteraker IFK 26 2 5 19 28:73 11
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Svealand 2025 (Relegation)