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Osteraker IFK vs Kvarnsveden

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Svealand 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norra Svealand 2023 game between Osteraker IFK and Kvarnsveden finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Osteraker IFK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Osteraker IFK
15%
Draws
0%
Kvarnsveden
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Osteraker IFK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Osteraker IFK come out ahead of Kvarnsveden on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Osteraker IFK's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Osteraker IFK have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Osteraker IFK Clean Sheet 10%
Kvarnsveden Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Osteraker IFK Kvarnsveden
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 5 2
Draws 5 3
Losses 22 25
Goals Scored 1.16 0.7
Goals Conceded 2.63 3.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2023 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
Kvarnsveden vs Osteraker IFK
1:3
Apr 7, 2023 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
Osteraker IFK vs Kvarnsveden
2:1
Aug 6, 2022 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
Osteraker IFK vs Kvarnsveden
1:2
Apr 14, 2022 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
Kvarnsveden vs Osteraker IFK
0:1
Oct 6, 2021 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
Osteraker IFK vs Kvarnsveden
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Osteraker IFK 83 / 100
Kvarnsveden 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Osteraker IFK Kvarnsveden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Osteraker IFK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Kvarnsveden conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Kvarnsveden registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Osteraker IFK found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Osteraker IFK VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
3 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Osteraker IFK

(Home)
18 Oct
Osteraker IFK
0 : 5
FC Jarfalla
11 Oct
Kungsangen
6 : 0
Osteraker IFK
04 Oct
Osteraker IFK
1 : 2
Ytterhogdal
26 Sept
IK Franke
5 : 4
Osteraker IFK
20 Sept
Viggbyholms
2 : 2
Osteraker IFK
Page 1 of 7

Kvarnsveden

(Away)
22 Oct
Kvarnsveden
0 : 4
FC Arlanda
14 Oct
FC Jarfalla
7 : 0
Kvarnsveden
07 Oct
Kvarnsveden
0 : 8
Enskede
30 Sept
Hudiksvall
8 : 1
Kvarnsveden
23 Sept
Kvarnsveden
0 : 6
Viggbyholms
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karlbergs 26 18 5 3 60:25 59
2 Enskede 26 17 5 4 74:25 56
3 FC Jarfalla 26 16 2 8 59:33 50
4 FC Arlanda 26 14 4 8 54:40 46
5 Gute 26 14 2 10 37:31 44
6 Viggbyholms 26 12 4 10 51:41 40
7 Hudiksvall 26 11 5 10 53:43 38
8 Osteraker IFK 26 10 6 10 40:41 36
9 Sandvikens AIK 26 11 3 12 39:40 36
10 Kungsangen 26 11 3 12 41:49 36
11 Skiljebo 26 10 4 12 58:45 34
12 IK Franke 26 7 7 12 40:51 28
13 IFK Uppsala 26 2 4 20 26:82 10
14 Kvarnsveden 26 1 2 23 15:101 5
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2023 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Svealand 2023 (Relegation)