Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ostersund vs Brage

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Jamtkraft Arena, Ostersund
Our Tip

Match Events

40'
Edwards C.
59'
Sub
Mortensen A. In: Sise M.
Out: Mortensen A.
70'
Sub
Jonsson P. In: Granstrom G.
Out: Jonsson P.

AI Match Summary

The Superettan game between Ostersund and Brage finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Ostersund
35%
Draws
12%
Brage
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ostersund

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Ostersund carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ostersund's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Ostersund Clean Sheet 20%
Brage Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ostersund Brage
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 13 7
Draws 11 8
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 Superettan
Ostersund vs Brage
1:1
May 13, 2026 Superettan
Brage vs Ostersund
2:4
Oct 18, 2025 Superettan
Ostersund vs Brage
1:0
May 5, 2025 Superettan
Brage vs Ostersund
0:2
Nov 9, 2024 Superettan
Ostersund vs Brage
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ostersund Compare

Top Goalscorer Begic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Brage Compare

Top Goalscorer Frodig V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ostersund 76 / 100
Brage 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ostersund Brage

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ostersund Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brage has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Ostersund stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Ostersund scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Ostersund VS Brage
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ostersund

(Home)
18 Sept
Falkenberg
0 : 0
Ostersund
14 Sept
Ostersund
1 : 0
Helsingborg
10 Sept
Ostersund
1 : 1
Brage
07 Sept
Orebro
0 : 1
Ostersund
29 Aug
Landskrona
1 : 1
Ostersund
Page 1 of 7

Brage

(Away)
19 Sept
Varberg
3 : 2
Brage
15 Sept
Brage
1 : 1
Sandviken
10 Sept
Ostersund
1 : 1
Brage
05 Sept
Brage
0 : 1
Sundsvall
29 Aug
Falkenberg
4 : 1
Brage
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 25 17 4 4 48:16 55
2 Falkenberg 25 13 6 6 46:33 45
3 Varberg 25 13 5 7 44:33 44
4 Ostersund 25 11 10 4 33:24 43
5 Landskrona 25 11 7 7 39:26 40
6 Sandviken 25 10 7 8 43:33 37
7 Oddevold 25 9 9 7 38:34 36
8 Oster 25 11 3 11 38:38 36
9 Nordic United 25 9 9 7 38:40 36
10 Helsingborg 25 8 6 11 36:45 30
11 Varnamo 25 8 5 12 33:45 29
12 Ljungskile 25 6 7 12 31:38 25
13 Norrby 25 4 12 9 28:35 24
14 Orebro 25 5 9 11 27:39 24
15 Brage 25 5 8 12 39:48 23
16 Sundsvall 25 6 1 18 19:53 19
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)