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Ostersund vs Nordic United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Jamtkraft Arena, Ostersund
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ostersund host Nordic United in the Superettan. This one's hard to separate. Nordic United have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Ostersund have conceded 1.07 and scored 1.28. Past meetings favor Ostersund slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 9, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 0.94) point toward Ostersund. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ostersund
35%
Draws
25%
Nordic United
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ostersund

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ostersund lately — more wins on the board than Nordic United.
  • Win probability leans Ostersund's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Ostersund Clean Sheet 20%
Nordic United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ostersund Nordic United
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 11
Draws 11 10
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.28 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2026 Superettan
Nordic United vs Ostersund
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ostersund 58 / 100
Nordic United 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ostersund Nordic United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ostersund Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ostersund's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Nordic United conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Ostersund has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ostersund VS Nordic United
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ostersund

(Home)
03 Oct
Rosenborg
2 : 0
Ostersund
18 Sept
Falkenberg
0 : 0
Ostersund
14 Sept
Ostersund
1 : 0
Helsingborg
10 Sept
Ostersund
1 : 1
Brage
07 Sept
Orebro
0 : 1
Ostersund
Page 1 of 6

Nordic United

(Away)
03 Oct
Orebro
1 : 1
Nordic United
19 Sept
Nordic United
1 : 4
Landskrona
14 Sept
Orebro
1 : 1
Nordic United
09 Sept
Nordic United
2 : 4
Varnamo
04 Sept
Oster
1 : 2
Nordic United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 25 17 4 4 48:16 55
2 Falkenberg 25 13 6 6 46:33 45
3 Varberg 25 13 5 7 44:33 44
4 Ostersund 25 11 10 4 33:24 43
5 Landskrona 25 11 7 7 39:26 40
6 Sandviken 25 10 7 8 43:33 37
7 Oddevold 25 9 9 7 38:34 36
8 Oster 25 11 3 11 38:38 36
9 Nordic United 25 9 9 7 38:40 36
10 Helsingborg 25 8 6 11 36:45 30
11 Varnamo 25 8 5 12 33:45 29
12 Ljungskile 25 6 7 12 31:38 25
13 Norrby 25 4 12 9 28:35 24
14 Orebro 25 5 9 11 27:39 24
15 Brage 25 5 8 12 39:48 23
16 Sundsvall 25 6 1 18 19:53 19
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)