Sport Picks
Match Events
14'
14'
Brenna D.
28'
28'
Gori L.
Assist: Montini A.
46'
46'
Sub
Buono D. In: Casolari F.
Out: Buono D.
AI Match Summary
The Serie C - Group B game between Ostiamare and Grosseto finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grosseto.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
25%
35%
40%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Grosseto
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Grosseto haven't matched Ostiamare's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Ostiamare Clean Sheet 15%
Grosseto Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ostiamare | Grosseto |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 14 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.44 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Ostiamare vs Grosseto
1:2
May 13, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Grosseto vs Ostiamare
2:3
Apr 13, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Ostiamare vs Grosseto
1:0
Nov 30, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Grosseto vs Ostiamare
1:0
Mar 11, 2023 Serie D - Group E
Grosseto vs Ostiamare
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ostiamare Compare
Top Goalscorer Badje I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Grosseto Compare
Top Goalscorer Gori L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sabattini L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ostiamare 31 / 100
Grosseto 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ostiamare Grosseto
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Grosseto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Ostiamare scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Grosseto let in goals in 63% of their last 27 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Ostiamare has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Ostiamare VS Grosseto
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Ostiamare
(Home) 04 Oct
Latina
1 : 1 Ostiamare
27 Sept
Ostiamare
1 : 1 Forli FC
20 Sept
Gubbio
0 : 2 Ostiamare
16 Sept
Ostiamare
0 : 1 Ravenna
13 Sept
Sassari Torres
3 : 2 Ostiamare
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Ostiamare
1 : 1 Forli FC
16 Sept
Ostiamare
0 : 1 Ravenna
29 Aug
Ostiamare
1 : 2 Grosseto
26 Jul
Ostiamare
0 : 2 Benevento
10 May
Ostiamare
0 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
Page 1 of 3
Grosseto
(Away) 03 Oct
Grosseto
1 : 3 Sambenedettese
26 Sept
Pineto
0 : 4 Grosseto
20 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 0 Perugia
16 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 2 Campobasso
12 Sept
Pianese
0 : 0 Grosseto
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Pineto
0 : 4 Grosseto
12 Sept
Pianese
0 : 0 Grosseto
29 Aug
Ostiamare
1 : 2 Grosseto
02 Aug
Perugia
1 : 1 Grosseto
17 May
Desenzano Calvina
0 : 1 Grosseto
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spezia | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 15:4 | 22 |
| 2 | Ravenna | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:4 | 17 |
| 3 | Grosseto | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 15 |
| 4 | Reggiana | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:7 | 14 |
| 5 | Livorno | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:9 | 14 |
| 6 | Perugia | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9:12 | 13 |
| 7 | Guidonia 1937 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 8 | Campobasso | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 9 | Sassari Torres | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:9 | 12 |
| 10 | Pescara | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:11 | 11 |
| 11 | Forli FC | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 13:12 | 10 |
| 12 | Atalanta U23 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:9 | 9 |
| 13 | Ostiamare | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:10 | 8 |
| 14 | Vado | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:8 | 8 |
| 15 | Pineto | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:11 | 7 |
| 16 | Gubbio | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:16 | 7 |
| 17 | Latina | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | 6 |
| 18 | Pianese | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:10 | 6 |
| 19 | Sambenedettese | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11:14 | 5 |
| 20 | Vis Pesaro | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:16 | 4 |
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)
