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Ostiamare vs Lanusei Calcio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Lorusso D.

AI Match Summary

Ostiamare in this Serie D - Group G 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ostiamare.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Ostiamare
35%
Draws
32%
Lanusei Calcio
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Lanusei Calcio haven't matched Ostiamare's recent run of results.
  • Ostiamare are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Ostiamare Clean Sheet 68%
Lanusei Calcio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ostiamare Lanusei Calcio
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 6
Draws 7 8
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.48 1
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2022 Serie D - Group G
Lanusei Calcio vs Ostiamare
2:2
Dec 22, 2021 Serie D - Group G
Ostiamare vs Lanusei Calcio
1:0
Apr 9, 2020 Serie D - Group G
Lanusei Calcio vs Ostiamare
0:0
Dec 1, 2019 Serie D - Group G
Ostiamare vs Lanusei Calcio
1:1
Apr 14, 2019 Serie D - Group G
Lanusei Calcio vs Ostiamare
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ostiamare Compare

Top Goalscorer Lorusso D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Lanusei Calcio Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ostiamare 95 / 100
Lanusei Calcio 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ostiamare Lanusei Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ostiamare Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lanusei Calcio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Ostiamare scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Ostiamare went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ostiamare VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ostiamare

(Home)
04 Oct
Latina
1 : 1
Ostiamare
27 Sept
Ostiamare
1 : 1
Forli FC
20 Sept
Gubbio
0 : 2
Ostiamare
16 Sept
Ostiamare
0 : 1
Ravenna
13 Sept
Sassari Torres
3 : 2
Ostiamare
Page 1 of 7

Lanusei Calcio

(Away)
25 May
Cassino
3 : 0
Lanusei Calcio
22 May
Lanusei Calcio
2 : 2
Ostiamare
18 May
Cynthialbalonga
7 : 2
Lanusei Calcio
15 May
Lanusei Calcio
3 : 2
Real Monterotondo
27 Apr
Atletico Uri
1 : 1
Lanusei Calcio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Giugliano 34 24 3 7 63:24 75
2 Nuova Florida 34 20 6 8 57:35 66
3 Sassari Torres 34 18 12 4 53:18 66
4 Arzachena 34 19 7 8 53:38 64
5 Afragolese 34 17 7 10 56:45 58
6 Cynthialbalonga 34 16 7 11 62:45 55
7 Aprilia 34 15 7 12 47:40 52
8 Ostiamare 34 13 9 12 44:36 48
9 Muravera 34 14 5 15 54:60 47
10 Vis Artena 34 13 7 14 44:48 46
11 San Felice Gladiator 34 12 8 14 50:52 44
12 Real Monterotondo 34 11 6 17 48:59 39
13 Cassino 34 9 11 14 38:49 38
14 Atletico Uri 34 9 8 17 32:53 35
15 Insieme Formia 34 7 8 19 33:64 29
16 Carbonia 34 6 12 16 38:64 29
17 Lanusei Calcio 34 6 10 18 32:55 28
18 Latte Dolce 34 6 9 19 30:49 27
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2021/2022 (Play Out)