Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ostiamare vs San Marino Calcio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Donsah G.
40' Event
Cinque F.
42' Event
El Hadj C. G.

AI Match Summary

Ostiamare in this Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ostiamare.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Ostiamare
30%
Draws
41%
San Marino Calcio
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: San Marino Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ostiamare lately — more wins on the board than San Marino Calcio.
  • Win probability leans Ostiamare's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Ostiamare Clean Sheet 68%
San Marino Calcio Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ostiamare San Marino Calcio
Matches Played 36 29
Wins 19 7
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.69 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Ostiamare vs San Marino Calcio
5:0
Sep 21, 2025 Serie D - Group F
San Marino Calcio vs Ostiamare
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ostiamare Compare

Top Goalscorer Donsah G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cinque F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

San Marino Calcio Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ostiamare 59 / 100
San Marino Calcio 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ostiamare San Marino Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ostiamare Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Ostiamare scored in 78% of their last 36 outings.

San Marino Calcio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Ostiamare stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ostiamare VS San Marino Calcio
0.63 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ostiamare

(Home)
04 Oct
Latina
1 : 1
Ostiamare
27 Sept
Ostiamare
1 : 1
Forli FC
20 Sept
Gubbio
0 : 2
Ostiamare
16 Sept
Ostiamare
0 : 1
Ravenna
13 Sept
Sassari Torres
3 : 2
Ostiamare
Page 1 of 8

San Marino Calcio

(Away)
17 May
Recanatese
4 : 1
San Marino Calcio
03 May
San Marino Calcio
1 : 0
Sammaurese
26 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 2
San Marino Calcio
19 Apr
San Marino Calcio
1 : 3
Teramo
12 Apr
AS Sora
2 : 2
San Marino Calcio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ostiamare 34 24 7 3 65:25 79
2 Ancona 34 23 7 4 59:22 76
3 Teramo 34 21 11 2 65:29 74
4 Atletico Ascoli 34 14 13 7 55:35 55
5 Notaresco Calcio 34 13 12 9 43:31 51
6 Aquila Calcio 34 14 9 11 53:44 51
7 Giulianova 34 11 16 7 40:31 49
8 Vigor Senigallia 34 12 13 9 45:40 49
9 Fossombrone 34 11 11 12 28:34 44
10 Unipomezia 34 10 12 12 43:42 42
11 Termoli 34 8 15 11 27:30 39
12 Maceratese 34 11 5 18 43:49 38
13 AS Sora 34 9 11 14 40:50 38
14 Recanatese 34 8 8 18 39:57 32
15 San Marino Calcio 34 8 7 19 33:61 31
16 Calcio Chieti 34 8 11 15 31:55 24
17 Castelfidardo 34 6 5 23 30:65 23
18 Sammaurese 34 5 7 22 30:69 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Out)