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Ostiamare vs Spezia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ostiamare host Spezia in the Serie C - Group B. This one's hard to separate. Spezia have shipped 1.24 goals a game lately, while Ostiamare have conceded 1.28 and scored 1.14. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 0.63 vs 1.56, favoring Spezia. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Ostiamare
30%
Draws
61%
Spezia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Spezia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Spezia lately — more wins on the board than Ostiamare.
  • Win probability leans Spezia's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Ostiamare Clean Sheet 15%
Spezia Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ostiamare Spezia
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 16
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.14 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ostiamare 11 / 100
Spezia 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ostiamare Spezia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spezia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ostiamare scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Spezia let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Ostiamare went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ostiamare VS Spezia
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ostiamare

(Home)
01 Nov
Livorno
1 : 0
Ostiamare
23 Oct
Ostiamare
1 : 2
Vado
18 Oct
Pescara
2 : 0
Ostiamare
10 Oct
Ostiamare
0 : 0
Pianese
04 Oct
Latina
1 : 1
Ostiamare
Page 1 of 6

Spezia

(Away)
01 Nov
Spezia
2 : 1
Atalanta U23
28 Oct
Spezia
2 : 1
Livorno
24 Oct
Spezia
1 : 1
Latina
18 Oct
Ravenna
0 : 1
Spezia
10 Oct
Spezia
2 : 0
Gubbio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spezia 12 10 2 0 21:6 32
2 Ravenna 12 8 2 2 22:7 26
3 Grosseto 12 6 5 1 25:15 23
4 Reggiana 12 6 2 4 16:11 20
5 Pescara 12 5 4 3 15:13 19
6 Livorno 12 5 4 3 17:16 19
7 Sassari Torres 12 5 4 3 13:12 19
8 Campobasso 12 5 3 4 18:20 18
9 Guidonia 1937 12 4 5 3 15:13 17
10 Perugia 12 5 2 5 16:18 17
11 Vado 12 4 4 4 14:13 16
12 Latina 12 3 6 3 12:12 15
13 Atalanta U23 12 5 0 7 14:18 15
14 Pineto 12 3 5 4 10:13 14
15 Forli FC 12 2 6 4 16:18 12
16 Sambenedettese 12 2 4 6 16:20 10
17 Pianese 12 1 7 4 7:11 10
18 Ostiamare 12 2 3 7 10:15 9
19 Gubbio 12 2 2 8 10:21 8
20 Vis Pesaro 12 1 2 9 11:26 5
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)