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Ostrava vs Zlin

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Chance Liga 2025/2026 Mestsky stadion v Ostrave-Vitkovicich, Ostrava
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Kopecny M.
Own Goal
21'
Cernin J.
46'
Sub
Kanu S. In: Machalik D.
Out: Kanu S.

AI Match Summary

Ostrava in this Chance Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ostrava.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Ostrava
20%
Draws
38%
Zlin
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ostrava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ostrava lately — more wins on the board than Zlin.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Ostrava taking it.
  • Regular Chance Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ostrava have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Ostrava Clean Sheet 20%
Zlin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ostrava Zlin
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 4 5
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 2 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Chance Liga
Zlin vs Ostrava
0:1
May 16, 2026 Chance Liga
Ostrava vs Zlin
2:0
Mar 8, 2026 Chance Liga
Ostrava vs Zlin
6:2
Oct 5, 2025 Chance Liga
Zlin vs Ostrava
1:1
Mar 3, 2024 Chance Liga
Zlin vs Ostrava
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ostrava Compare

Top Goalscorer Frydrych M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Zlin Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ostrava 42 / 100
Zlin 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ostrava Zlin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ostrava's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Zlin has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Ostrava went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ostrava VS Zlin
2 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ostrava

(Home)
25 Jul
Zlin
0 : 1
Ostrava
18 Jul
Trencin
3 : 2
Ostrava
11 Jul
Legnica
2 : 1
Ostrava
11 Jul
Wisla Plock
2 : 2
Ostrava
08 Jul
Zaglebie
0 : 2
Ostrava
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Zlin

(Away)
25 Jul
Zlin
0 : 1
Ostrava
18 Jul
Slask Wroclaw
3 : 1
Zlin
15 Jul
Polonia Warszawa
0 : 2
Zlin
10 Jul
Zlin
2 : 1
Banska Bystrica
08 Jul
Zlin
1 : 2
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
11Teplice3510121340:4242
12Zlin351181643:5641
13Mlada Boleslav359131349:5740
14Slovacko35791930:5130
15Ostrava35782032:4929
16Dukla Prague355111923:5126
Relegation - Chance Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - ChNL (Main)