Sport Picks
Ostrovets vs BumProm Gomel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Belarus
Pershaya Liga City Stadium, Ostrovets 
Match Events
15'
15'
Sidorenko K.
18'
18'
Fazylov A.
Assist: Miroevskiy A.
23'
23'
Davyskiba R.
AI Match Summary
The Pershaya Liga game between Ostrovets and BumProm Gomel finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward BumProm Gomel.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
30%
41%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: BumProm Gomel
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- BumProm Gomel carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans BumProm Gomel's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Pershaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Ostrovets Clean Sheet 15%
BumProm Gomel Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ostrovets | BumProm Gomel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Draws | 10 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.62 | 1.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2026 Pershaya Liga
Ostrovets vs BumProm Gomel
1:4
Apr 18, 2026 Pershaya Liga
BumProm Gomel vs Ostrovets
1:3
Sep 14, 2025 Pershaya Liga
BumProm Gomel vs Ostrovets
1:1
May 10, 2025 Pershaya Liga
Ostrovets vs BumProm Gomel
0:1
Oct 6, 2024 Pershaya Liga
BumProm Gomel vs Ostrovets
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ostrovets Compare
Top Goalscorer Davyskiba R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
BumProm Gomel Compare
Top Goalscorer Sidorenko K.
2 Goals Assists Leader Fazylov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ostrovets 27 / 100
BumProm Gomel 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ostrovets BumProm Gomel
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BumProm Gomel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Ostrovets scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.
BumProm Gomel let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Ostrovets went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ostrovets VS BumProm Gomel
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Ostrovets
(Home) 10 Oct
Ostrovets
1 : 2 FC Slonim
02 Oct
BATE 2
1 : 1 Ostrovets
26 Sept
Uni X Labs
1 : 1 Ostrovets
20 Sept
Molodechno
3 : 2 Ostrovets
12 Sept
Ostrovets
3 : 1 FC Gomel 2
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Ostrovets
1 : 2 FC Slonim
12 Sept
Ostrovets
3 : 1 FC Gomel 2
29 Aug
Ostrovets
2 : 0 Volna Pinsk
16 Aug
Ostrovets
1 : 4 BumProm Gomel
05 Aug
Ostrovets
2 : 0 Osipovichi
Page 1 of 3
BumProm Gomel
(Away) 10 Oct
Soligorsk
3 : 1 BumProm Gomel
04 Oct
BumProm Gomel
2 : 1 FC Minsk 2
27 Sept
Osipovichi
3 : 3 BumProm Gomel
19 Sept
BumProm Gomel
4 : 0 FK Lida
13 Sept
Niva Dolbizno
2 : 1 BumProm Gomel
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Soligorsk
3 : 1 BumProm Gomel
27 Sept
Osipovichi
3 : 3 BumProm Gomel
13 Sept
Niva Dolbizno
2 : 1 BumProm Gomel
29 Aug
Slutsk
4 : 1 BumProm Gomel
16 Aug
Ostrovets
1 : 4 BumProm Gomel
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slutsk | 29 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 58:28 | 63 |
| 2 | Niva Dolbizno | 28 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 72:33 | 58 |
| 3 | FK Lida | 28 | 18 | 3 | 7 | 52:43 | 57 |
| 4 | SKA-1938 Minsk | 28 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 61:32 | 56 |
| 5 | FC Slonim | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 51:33 | 50 |
| 6 | Molodechno | 27 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 46:45 | 45 |
| 7 | Soligorsk | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 55:45 | 43 |
| 8 | BumProm Gomel | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 53:44 | 41 |
| 9 | Smorgon | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 35:36 | 36 |
| 10 | Ostrovets | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 38:41 | 35 |
| 11 | Din. Minsk 2 | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 42:37 | 35 |
| 12 | Volna Pinsk | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 41:51 | 35 |
| 13 | FC Minsk 2 | 28 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 37:52 | 30 |
| 14 | Orsha | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 28:52 | 27 |
| 15 | Uni X Labs | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 25:36 | 26 |
| 16 | BATE 2 | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 36:62 | 22 |
| 17 | FC Gomel 2 | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 38:60 | 21 |
| 18 | Osipovichi | 28 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 30:68 | 20 |
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
