Sport Picks
Ostrovets vs SKA-1938 Minsk
Belarus
Pershaya Liga City Stadium, Ostrovets 
Match Events
23'
23'
Prigodich V.
35'
35'
Sub
Kartoev A. In: Kazakov I.
Out: Kartoev A.
36'
36'
Tsyk D.
Assist: Skripnik G.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Pershaya Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: SKA-1938 Minsk
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- SKA-1938 Minsk have won more games recently than Ostrovets.
- Model gives SKA-1938 Minsk a 90% chance of winning this.
- Regular Pershaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Ostrovets Clean Sheet 20%
SKA-1938 Minsk Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ostrovets | SKA-1938 Minsk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 15 |
| Draws | 10 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 2.13 | 3.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 3.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 10, 2026 Pershaya Liga
Ostrovets vs SKA-1938 Minsk
1:1
Aug 4, 2024 Pershaya Liga
SKA-1938 Minsk vs Ostrovets
0:1
Apr 5, 2024 Pershaya Liga
Ostrovets vs SKA-1938 Minsk
1:0
Jul 29, 2023 Club Friendly
SKA-1938 Minsk vs Ostrovets
4:1
Mar 4, 2023 Club Friendly
SKA-1938 Minsk vs Ostrovets
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ostrovets Compare
Top Goalscorer Tsyk D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
SKA-1938 Minsk Compare
Top Goalscorer Slivin A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.85
Avg xA / game 1.74
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ostrovets 10 / 100
SKA-1938 Minsk 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ostrovets SKA-1938 Minsk
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SKA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Ostrovets scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.
SKA-1938 Minsk has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Ostrovets remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Ostrovets VS SKA-1938 Minsk
2.13 Goals Scored 3.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Ostrovets
(Home) 18 Jul
Ostrovets
2 : 3 Vitebsk
10 Jul
Ostrovets
1 : 1 SKA-1938 Minsk
04 Jul
Slutsk
1 : 1 Ostrovets
28 Jun
Ostrovets
1 : 1 Din. Minsk 2
20 Jun
Soligorsk
4 : 1 Ostrovets
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Ostrovets
2 : 3 Vitebsk
10 Jul
Ostrovets
1 : 1 SKA-1938 Minsk
28 Jun
Ostrovets
1 : 1 Din. Minsk 2
06 Jun
Ostrovets
0 : 0 BATE 2
31 May
Ostrovets
3 : 2 Uni X Labs
Page 1 of 3
SKA-1938 Minsk
(Away) 10 Jul
Ostrovets
1 : 1 SKA-1938 Minsk
04 Jul
SKA-1938 Minsk
4 : 3 FC Slonim
28 Jun
BATE 2
3 : 4 SKA-1938 Minsk
21 Jun
SKA-1938 Minsk
4 : 0 Uni X Labs
17 Jun
SKA-1938 Minsk
3 : 5 ML Vitebsk
Page 1 of 6
10 Jul
Ostrovets
1 : 1 SKA-1938 Minsk
28 Jun
BATE 2
3 : 4 SKA-1938 Minsk
13 Jun
Molodechno
1 : 4 SKA-1938 Minsk
30 May
Orsha
0 : 2 SKA-1938 Minsk
20 May
Minskoe More
0 : 3 SKA-1938 Minsk
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slutsk | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 32:16 | 35 |
| 2 | SKA-1938 Minsk | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 37:16 | 34 |
| 3 | FK Lida | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 27:23 | 27 |
| 4 | FC Slonim | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 28:17 | 27 |
| 5 | Niva Dolbizno | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35:18 | 27 |
| 6 | Soligorsk | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 33:20 | 25 |
| 7 | BumProm Gomel | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 30:21 | 24 |
| 8 | Din. Minsk 2 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 29:20 | 24 |
| 9 | Volna Pinsk | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 25:25 | 23 |
| 10 | Molodechno | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 21:31 | 19 |
| 11 | FC Gomel 2 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 23:21 | 17 |
| 12 | FC Minsk 2 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 18:31 | 16 |
| 13 | Orsha | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15:25 | 15 |
| 14 | Ostrovets | 15 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 18:21 | 15 |
| 15 | Uni X Labs | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13:24 | 15 |
| 16 | Smorgon | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 18:24 | 14 |
| 17 | BATE 2 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 20:37 | 11 |
| 18 | Osipovichi | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15:47 | 4 |
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2027 (Main)
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